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It’s no secret that pitching wins games in October. The San Diego Padres currently hold a record of 69-60, and they’re sitting just one game ahead of the Arizona Diamondbacks for the final National League Wild Card spot. If they’re not only going to make the postseason, but actually make a run once they get there, they’re going to need their pitching staff to step up.
After acquiring Casey Mize and Robbie Ray at the trade deadline, their starting rotation is in a much better position to help accomplish that. But one thing this Padres team has that a lot of other playoff hopefuls don’t is a quality bullpen. In fact, San Diego’s late-game pitching has been among the best in baseball this season.
Among all 30 teams, the Padres’ bullpen has the fifth-lowest ERA. They’ve also recorded the most strikeouts of any bullpen in the league. And keep in mind, they’ve done that without Jason Adam since late June, while Jeremiah Estrada has missed roughly three months with two separate injured-list stints. As I said, pitching wins games. But late-game pitching specifically can be the difference between moving on and going home. And I don’t think it’s crazy to say that, health permitting, San Diego could enter October with the best bullpen in baseball.
Now, of course, that’s assuming the Padres make the playoffs to begin with. In addition to Arizona, both the Miami Marlins and St. Louis Cardinals sit within shouting distance of that final Wild Card spot. There’s still plenty of baseball left to be played, and the Friars certainly aren't guaranteed a postseason berth. But let’s think optimistically here and say the Padres hold on and make it to October. If they enter the sixth inning of any game with a lead, you’ve got to feel pretty darn good about their chances of holding onto it.
That starts with Mason Miller, who has established himself as the best reliever in the league. Miller leads the National League with 31 saves in 32 opportunities, and with a microscopic 0.86 ERA across 52 1/3 innings, that’s about as “shutdown” as it gets. His whiff rate and strikeout rate are both in the 100th percentile among pitchers, which pretty much tells you everything you need to know about how difficult he is to hit. There is no better ninth-inning option in baseball.
You could also argue there’s no better eighth-inning option than left-hander Adrián Morejón. The southpaw's 2.78 ERA doesn’t do justice to how dominant he’s been this season. Left-handers who can throw a triple-digit fastball and consistently pound the strike zone are extremely rare, but that’s exactly what Morejón brings to the table. His sinker sits around 100 mph, and because of his sinker-changeup-slider combination, his ground-ball and barrel rates both sit in the 99th percentile. His whiff and chase rates are both in the 96th percentile or better, while his 2.44 expected ERA suggests he’s been even better than his surface-level numbers indicate.
I’ll plant my flag here: Morejón and Miller are the best eighth- and ninth-inning duo in the league. But the beauty of San Diego’s bullpen is that it doesn’t stop there. Right-handers Jeremiah Estrada and Jason Adam have both battled injuries this season, with Adam currently banged up but expected to return in mid-September. Health permitting, though, those are two darn good arms to have before getting to Morejón and Miller.
Both generate an enormous amount of chases and whiffs. Neither gives up much hard contact, and they also provide completely different pitch mixes. Estrada leans heavily on his four-seam fastball while mixing in a splitter and slider. Adam, meanwhile, leads with his slider while also leaning heavily on a changeup and four-seam fastball. Both guys do a good job of keeping runners off the bases, and in a must-win type of game, Adam-Estrada-Morejón-Miller is about as dominant a group as you can ask for.
And thats before we get to 22-year-old Bradgley Rodriguez, who has only gone unmentioned this long because of his lack of postseason experience. Rodriguez has been incredible in 2026, posting a 2.08 ERA while putting together exceptional contact-quality metrics that provide a strong foundation for a reliable postseason arm. And while Yuki Matsui’s expected ERA is more than a full run higher than his actual 2.22 mark, he gives Craig Stammen another quality left-handed option to deploy.
You could offer up a few other relief corps for the honor, but it's not a stretch to say that the San Diego Padres’ bullpen is the best in baseball. It isn’t just that they have an elite closer. They have multiple arms capable of handling high-leverage situations, different arsenals that can attack hitters in different ways and, perhaps most importantly, the potential to shorten games considerably if everyone is healthy.
When October rolls around, the importance of late-game pitching gets magnified. For a Padres team that won’t enter the postseason, assuming they make it, as one of the favorites, this kind of bullpen could be exactly what they need. A fifth or sixth seed doesn’t need to be the most talented team in October. It just needs to find a way to win close games. And if the Friars can get to the late innings with a lead, they might have the group capable of turning them from a Wild Card team into a legitimate World Series contender.







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