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Samuel Cozart

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  1. The 2025 offseason has been an eventful one for the San Diego Padres. It started with the shocking resignation of Mike Shildt and the hiring of Craig Stammen. It has also featured the losses of star pitchers Dylan Cease and Robert Suarez, and most recently, the acquisition of sought-after Korean free agent Sung Mun Song. While the Padres have faced dramatic internal shifts this offseason, the remainder of the NL West is reshaping itself as well. Let’s take a look at San Diego’s divisional foes and how they stack up after notable additions and subtractions. Los Angeles Dodgers The rich continue to get richer. To the dismay of the Friar Faithful, the Padres’ arch-rival took home its second consecutive World Series title in 2025. The bad news for San Diego is that the Dodgers’ offseason has indicated nothing other than another year as World Series favorites. The most notable move by Los Angeles this winter was the acquisition of All-Star closer Edwin Diaz. If the Dodgers had one weak link in the 2025 postseason, it was the bullpen’s struggle to close games. Now, bringing in one of Major League Baseball’s top closers makes them all the more deadly. The retirement of future Hall of Fame pitcher Clayton Kershaw will put a void in the Dodgers’ clubhouse, but their dominant starting rotation will have no concern filling his role. Here are notable additions and subtractions for the back-to-back champions this offseason, according to MLB: Additions: Signed RP Edwin Diaz to a 3-year deal. 2025 WAR: 3.0 Re-signed SS Miguel Rojas to a 1-year deal. 2025 WAR: 1.9 Subtractions: SP Clayton Kershaw (retired). 2025 WAR: 1.6 Still on the board: UTIL Kiké Hernandez. 2025 WAR: -0.1 RP Michael Kopech. 2025 WAR: 0.2 RP Evan Phillips. 2025 WAR: 0.4 RP Kirby Yates. 2025 WAR: -0.5 OF Michael Conforto. 2025 WAR: -0.7 SP Tony Gonsolin. 2025 WAR: 0.0 SP Andrew Heaney. 2025 WAR: -0.3 Excluding re-signings and counting all remaining free agents as subtractions, the WAR +/- of the Dodgers’ additions and subtractions still comes out to +2.4. Another offseason where the empire to the North gets stronger. San Francisco Giants Like the Padres, the Giants’ offseason started with a change in manager. After firing Bob Melvin, San Francisco made an unprecedented move, hiring Tony Vitello from the University of Tennessee, who has no former coaching experience at the professional level. Buster Posey is taking the team in a new direction at the top, aiming to keep the Giants in Postseason contention in 2026. The Giants’ moves mostly rely on reshaping their pitching staff. Here are those moves so far, according to MLB: Additions: Signed RP Jason Foley to a 1-year deal. 2025 WAR: 3.4 Signed RP Sam Hentges to a 1-year deal. 2025 WAR: 1.4 Signed SP Adrian Houser to a 2-year deal. 2025 WAR: 3.3 Subtractions: C Andrew Knizner (signed with Seattle). 2025 WAR: 0.3 Still on the board: 1B Wilmer Flores. 2025 WAR: 0.3 1B Dominic Smith. 2025 WAR: 0.4 SP Justin Verlander. 2025 WAR: 1.2 RP Joey Lucchesi. 2025 WAR: 0.4 C Tom Murphy. 2025 WAR: N/A Even when counting all remaining free agents as subtractions, the Giants still have a WAR +/- of +5.5 in the offseason. A bolstered pitching staff should keep San Francisco afloat in the NL West in 2026. Arizona Diamondbacks Two years removed from a Cinderella run to the World Series, the D-backs are trying to turn the tide back towards the postseason. Arizona has not played postseason ball since the 2023 World Series, finishing just outside of the NL Wild Card in consecutive years. Like San Francisco, the Diamondbacks' offseason has focused on pitching reinforcement, notably bringing back Merrill Kelly just months after dealing him to Texas at the trade deadline. Zac Gallen, the club’s long-time ace, is currently testing the market, which would leave a hole in the rotation, but Arizona’s signings have prepared them for his departure. These are the Diamondbacks' moves this offseason, according to MLB: Additions: Signed SP Merrill Kelly to a 2-year deal. 2025 WAR: 2.9 Signed SP Michael Soroka to a 1-year deal. 2025 WAR: 0.6 Re-signed C James McCann to a 1-year deal. 2025 WAR: 1.0 Subtractions: RP Kyle Backhus (traded to Philadelphia). 2025 WAR: -0.1 Still on the board: SP Zac Gallen. 2025 WAR: 1.1 RP Jalen Beeks. 2025 WAR: 0.9 Excluding re-signings and counting all remaining free agents as subtractions, Arizona’s WAR +/- this offseason is +1.6. Although their moves have been marginal, the Diamondbacks are gearing themselves up for another year of postseason contention. Colorado Rockies After a historically bad 2025 season and third-straight 100-loss season, the Rockies finally decided to make front office changes. Colorado hired analytics guru and Moneyball hero, Paul DePodesta, as President of Baseball Operations and hired former Padres General Manager Josh Byrnes as GM. The moves stop there. Despite the changes at the top, it has been another offseason of non-action for Colorado, being the only team yet to sign an MLB contract this winter. All signs point to German Marquez, their former ace, walking in free agency, but he has not been the same since receiving Tommy John surgery. Here are Colorado’s moves (or lack thereof) this offseason: Additions: None as of Dec. 27, 2025 Subtractions: RP Ryan Rolison (traded to Atlanta). 2025 WAR: -0.3 Still on the board: SP German Marquez. 2025 WAR: -1.1 1B Michael Toglia. 2025 WAR: -1.7 SS Orlando Arcia. 2025 WAR: -1.2 INF Kyle Farmer. 2025 WAR: -0.8 Somehow, if all of Colorado’s free agents sign elsewhere, they will gain 5.5 WAR in the offseason, without making any signings. If their inactivity doesn’t make it obvious, the Rockies have no plans of competing in 2026, but moves at the top of the organization could be the start of much-needed change for Colorado. Implications for the Padres All signs point to another competitive season in the NL West for the Padres in 2026. The Dodgers, Giants, and Diamondbacks have all made improvements at the margins this winter, making for another exciting year of baseball out west. View full article
  2. The 2025 offseason has been an eventful one for the San Diego Padres. It started with the shocking resignation of Mike Shildt and the hiring of Craig Stammen. It has also featured the losses of star pitchers Dylan Cease and Robert Suarez, and most recently, the acquisition of sought-after Korean free agent Sung Mun Song. While the Padres have faced dramatic internal shifts this offseason, the remainder of the NL West is reshaping itself as well. Let’s take a look at San Diego’s divisional foes and how they stack up after notable additions and subtractions. Los Angeles Dodgers The rich continue to get richer. To the dismay of the Friar Faithful, the Padres’ arch-rival took home its second consecutive World Series title in 2025. The bad news for San Diego is that the Dodgers’ offseason has indicated nothing other than another year as World Series favorites. The most notable move by Los Angeles this winter was the acquisition of All-Star closer Edwin Diaz. If the Dodgers had one weak link in the 2025 postseason, it was the bullpen’s struggle to close games. Now, bringing in one of Major League Baseball’s top closers makes them all the more deadly. The retirement of future Hall of Fame pitcher Clayton Kershaw will put a void in the Dodgers’ clubhouse, but their dominant starting rotation will have no concern filling his role. Here are notable additions and subtractions for the back-to-back champions this offseason, according to MLB: Additions: Signed RP Edwin Diaz to a 3-year deal. 2025 WAR: 3.0 Re-signed SS Miguel Rojas to a 1-year deal. 2025 WAR: 1.9 Subtractions: SP Clayton Kershaw (retired). 2025 WAR: 1.6 Still on the board: UTIL Kiké Hernandez. 2025 WAR: -0.1 RP Michael Kopech. 2025 WAR: 0.2 RP Evan Phillips. 2025 WAR: 0.4 RP Kirby Yates. 2025 WAR: -0.5 OF Michael Conforto. 2025 WAR: -0.7 SP Tony Gonsolin. 2025 WAR: 0.0 SP Andrew Heaney. 2025 WAR: -0.3 Excluding re-signings and counting all remaining free agents as subtractions, the WAR +/- of the Dodgers’ additions and subtractions still comes out to +2.4. Another offseason where the empire to the North gets stronger. San Francisco Giants Like the Padres, the Giants’ offseason started with a change in manager. After firing Bob Melvin, San Francisco made an unprecedented move, hiring Tony Vitello from the University of Tennessee, who has no former coaching experience at the professional level. Buster Posey is taking the team in a new direction at the top, aiming to keep the Giants in Postseason contention in 2026. The Giants’ moves mostly rely on reshaping their pitching staff. Here are those moves so far, according to MLB: Additions: Signed RP Jason Foley to a 1-year deal. 2025 WAR: 3.4 Signed RP Sam Hentges to a 1-year deal. 2025 WAR: 1.4 Signed SP Adrian Houser to a 2-year deal. 2025 WAR: 3.3 Subtractions: C Andrew Knizner (signed with Seattle). 2025 WAR: 0.3 Still on the board: 1B Wilmer Flores. 2025 WAR: 0.3 1B Dominic Smith. 2025 WAR: 0.4 SP Justin Verlander. 2025 WAR: 1.2 RP Joey Lucchesi. 2025 WAR: 0.4 C Tom Murphy. 2025 WAR: N/A Even when counting all remaining free agents as subtractions, the Giants still have a WAR +/- of +5.5 in the offseason. A bolstered pitching staff should keep San Francisco afloat in the NL West in 2026. Arizona Diamondbacks Two years removed from a Cinderella run to the World Series, the D-backs are trying to turn the tide back towards the postseason. Arizona has not played postseason ball since the 2023 World Series, finishing just outside of the NL Wild Card in consecutive years. Like San Francisco, the Diamondbacks' offseason has focused on pitching reinforcement, notably bringing back Merrill Kelly just months after dealing him to Texas at the trade deadline. Zac Gallen, the club’s long-time ace, is currently testing the market, which would leave a hole in the rotation, but Arizona’s signings have prepared them for his departure. These are the Diamondbacks' moves this offseason, according to MLB: Additions: Signed SP Merrill Kelly to a 2-year deal. 2025 WAR: 2.9 Signed SP Michael Soroka to a 1-year deal. 2025 WAR: 0.6 Re-signed C James McCann to a 1-year deal. 2025 WAR: 1.0 Subtractions: RP Kyle Backhus (traded to Philadelphia). 2025 WAR: -0.1 Still on the board: SP Zac Gallen. 2025 WAR: 1.1 RP Jalen Beeks. 2025 WAR: 0.9 Excluding re-signings and counting all remaining free agents as subtractions, Arizona’s WAR +/- this offseason is +1.6. Although their moves have been marginal, the Diamondbacks are gearing themselves up for another year of postseason contention. Colorado Rockies After a historically bad 2025 season and third-straight 100-loss season, the Rockies finally decided to make front office changes. Colorado hired analytics guru and Moneyball hero, Paul DePodesta, as President of Baseball Operations and hired former Padres General Manager Josh Byrnes as GM. The moves stop there. Despite the changes at the top, it has been another offseason of non-action for Colorado, being the only team yet to sign an MLB contract this winter. All signs point to German Marquez, their former ace, walking in free agency, but he has not been the same since receiving Tommy John surgery. Here are Colorado’s moves (or lack thereof) this offseason: Additions: None as of Dec. 27, 2025 Subtractions: RP Ryan Rolison (traded to Atlanta). 2025 WAR: -0.3 Still on the board: SP German Marquez. 2025 WAR: -1.1 1B Michael Toglia. 2025 WAR: -1.7 SS Orlando Arcia. 2025 WAR: -1.2 INF Kyle Farmer. 2025 WAR: -0.8 Somehow, if all of Colorado’s free agents sign elsewhere, they will gain 5.5 WAR in the offseason, without making any signings. If their inactivity doesn’t make it obvious, the Rockies have no plans of competing in 2026, but moves at the top of the organization could be the start of much-needed change for Colorado. Implications for the Padres All signs point to another competitive season in the NL West for the Padres in 2026. The Dodgers, Giants, and Diamondbacks have all made improvements at the margins this winter, making for another exciting year of baseball out west.
  3. When Nick Pivetta signed a four-year, $55 million contract this offseason with the Padres, no one quite knew how important that deal would be for San Diego. In a year plagued with injuries to key starters, Pivetta stepped up to the occasion and was, without a doubt, the best starter this season for the Padres. Pivetta’s rise to the top of San Diego’s rotation was unexpected, but crucial to any of the Padres’ postseason hopes. With Joe Musgrove out for the season while recovering from Tommy John surgery, in conjunction with Yu Darvish and Michael King spending the majority of the season on the IL, someone had to fill the void on the mound. Even Dylan Cease, who was expected to be the Padres' ace this season, had his fair share of struggles. Despite the tremendous uncertainty in the rotation, Pivetta stepped in and dealt a career season in his first with the Padres. Numbers-wise, this was the best season of the 32-year-old’s career, and it’s not even close. In his tenth MLB season, Pivetta put up career-bests and led all Padres starters in the following statistics: 2.87 ERA 5.3 WAR 0.985 WHIP 3.50 FIP 13-5 record 181.2 IP To put that into perspective, in his entire MLB career, Pivetta never achieved a sub-3.00 ERA, sub-1.00 WHIP, or a WAR above 3 until this season. Despite solid years in Boston and Philadelphia prior to signing with San Diego, Pivetta has never pitched close to the level he showcased with the Friars in 2025. He was brought in by A.J. Preller to bring depth and stability to the rotation as a veteran, but was so much more. Pivetta boasts a six-pitch arsenal, featuring a four-seam fastball (46% usage), curveball (22% usage), sweeper (17% usage), cutter (9% usage), sinker (4% usage), and slider (2% usage). Out of his most used pitches, his four-seamer and sweeper are particularly effective. On his four seamer, Pivetta generated a 24.1 Whiff% and just a .195 batting average. On the sweeper, he tallied an impressive 37.4 Whiff% and .157 batting average. On left-handed hitters, Pivetta keeps it simple, mostly dealing his four seamer and changeup. Against righties, he brings a more varied selection, activating that very effective sweeper, as well as sinkers and cutters. Overall, he shuts down hitters on both sides of the plate, allowing a .205 batting average against righties and just .185 against lefties. According to Baseball Savant, Pivetta burdens elite value, ranking in the 99th percentile of pitching run value, 98th percentile of fastball run value, and 97th percentile of breaking run value. Not too shabby for a guy who was originally brought in as a rotational depth piece. Going into the postseason, Pivetta assumed a much bigger role for the Padres than initially believed. He was brilliant in a Game 1 loss in the Wild Card Round to the Chicago Cubs, striking out nine over five innings. Unfortunately, he surrendered back-to-back solo home runs in the fifth inning that proved to be the difference, but he was as good as advertised while making his first postseason appearance since 2021. In a season of injuries and uncertainty in the rotation for the Padres, Pivetta stood out from the rest. He was an unexpected hero for the Friars this season, blowing any expectations completely out of the water. His consistently high-level play this season kept the team afloat in a campaign where any crack from the rotation could have caused everything to crumble. Nobody saw it coming in April, but Nick Pivetta is your San Diego Padres starter of the year.
  4. When Nick Pivetta signed a four-year $55 million contract this offseason with the Padres, no one quite knew how big that deal would be for San Diego. In a year plagued with injuries to key starters, Pivetta stepped up to the occasion and was, without a doubt, the best starter this season for the Padres. Pivetta’s rise to the top of San Diego’s rotation was unexpected, but crucial to any of the Padres’ postseason hopes. With Joe Musgrove out for the season recovering from Tommy John surgery, as well as Yu Darvish and Michael King spending the majority of the season on the IL, someone had to fill the void on the mound. Even Dylan Cease, who was expected to be the Padres ace this season, had his fair share of struggles. Despite the tremendous uncertainty in the rotation, Pivetta stepped in and dealt a career season in his first with the Padres. Numbers-wise, this was the best season of the 32-year-old’s career and it’s not even close. In his tenth MLB season, Pivetta put up career-bests and led all Padres starters in the following statistics: 2.87 ERA 5.3 WAR 0.985 WHIP 3.50 FIP 13-5 record 181.2 IP To put it into perspective, in his entire MLB career, Pivetta never achieved a sub-3.0 ERA, sub-1.0 WHIP, or a WAR above 3 until this season. Despite solid years in Boston and Philadelphia prior to signing with San Diego, Pivetta has never pitched close to the level we have seen this season. He was brought in by A.J. Preller to bring depth and stability to the rotation as a veteran, but has been so much more. Pivetta boasts a six pitch arsenal, featuring a four-seam fastball (46% usage), curveball (22% usage), sweeper (17% usage), cutter (9% usage), sinker (4% usage), and slider (2% usage). Out of his most used pitches, his four seamer and sweeper are particularly effective. On his four seamer, Pivetta generated a 24.1 Whiff% and just a .195 batting average. On the sweeper, he tallied an impressive 37.4 Whiff% and .157 batting average. On left-handed hitters, Pivetta keeps it simple, mostly dealing his four seamer and changeup. Against righties, he brings a more varied selection, activating that very effective sweeper, as well as sinkers and cutters. Overall, he shuts down hitters on both sides of the plate, allowing a .205 batting average against righties and just .185 against lefties. According to Baseball Savant, Pivetta burdens elite value, ranking in the 99th percentile of pitching run value, 99th percentile of fastball run value, and 97th percentile of breaking run value. Not too shabby for a guy who was originally brought in as a rotational depth piece. Going into the postseason, Pivetta is assuming a much bigger role for the Padres than initially believed. They will need him to continue tossing the best season of his career, especially with the rotation looking less steady than it did preseason. Unfortunately there is not much of a postseason sample size to go off of when trying to predict what Pivetta will bring to the Padres in October. Pivetta’s only postseason appearance came with the Red Sox in 2021, where he pitched just 13.2 innings across three games. However, his numbers in those games are encouraging. A 2.63 ERA and 1.024 WHIP highlight his brief postseason stint. Those are solid numbers, but if his breakout this season indicates anything, San Diego should expect Pivetta to blow them away this postseason. If the Padres want a shot at their first World Series title, he has to. In a season of injuries and uncertainty in the rotation for the Padres, Pivetta has stood out from the rest. He has been an unexpected hero for the Friars this season, blowing any expectations completely out of the water. His consistently high-level play this season has kept the team afloat in a season where any bluff from starting pitching could cause everything to crumble. Nobody saw it coming in April, but Nick Pivetta is your San Diego Padres starter of the year. View full article
  5. Major League Baseball’s best bullpen just took a huge blow and at the worst time. In the seventh inning of Monday’s loss to Baltimore, Jason Adam went down after a pitch and was carted off the field. On Tuesday, the Padres announced that Adam would miss the remainder of the season, placing him on the 15-day IL with a left quadriceps tendon rupture. The All-Star reliever has been nothing short of stellar this season for San Diego. In 65 1/3 innings (the second-highest mark of his career), Adam has accumulated a 1.93 ERA, 1.148 WHIP, and 2.5 WAR. He's been a tremendous asset amongst a veritable group of elite relievers. With the loss of Adam, the Padres lose arguably their most well-rounded reliever, as well as their go-to option for the middle innings. If it’s not clear by now, Adam is a crucial piece to making the Padres bullpen the best group in MLB. Luckily, he’s not the only star in the ‘pen for San Diego. He was joined by teammates Robert Suarez and Adrian Morejon as Padres relievers to make this year’s Midsummer Classic. A.J. Preller also approached the trade deadline with the intent of making the bullpen even stronger. That was shown by taking a big swing for Mason Miller. If any bullpen is built to withstand a setback like Adam’s injury, it’s this one. There are plenty of names who can fill-in the spots where Adam would be pitching. Miller, Suarez, and Morejon still form a nearly unhittable group on the mound. Having three guys who can step in at any point of the game and completely shutdown opposing offenses is a recipe for success in October. Assuming that Suarez will maintain his duties as closer through September and beyond, Miller and Morejon will (for the most part) fill the void left with Adam’s absence. Both guys are key reasons as to why Adam’s loss is not as detrimental for the Padres as it would be for nearly every other team in the league, and they should be counted on as the primary bridge options to Suarez when the playoffs begin. Since being traded to San Diego, Miller has done exactly as Preller had hoped. A 1.50 ERA and 0.917 WHIP in brown and gold bury any of his numbers with the A’s in the dirt. His arsenal is essentially only two pitches, with his legendary four-seam fastball and slider dominating hitters aplenty. He’s also an absolute flamethrower, with his average fastball clocking in at 101.2 MPH. Although his stuff is completely different from Adam’s, the addition of Miller helps lessen the damage of the injury and provides another elite arm that can rise to the occasion. Morejon also provides big-time prowess to the bullpen. He is simply one of the best relievers in baseball, and the numbers back it up. According to Baseball Savant, Morejon’s pitching run value is in the 96th percentile. That goes along with an outstanding 0.79 and 1.85 ERA in 63 1/3 innings pitched. It’s no question that the Padres bullpen has the star power to fill Adam’s shoes. Where things become questionable is in the play of the bullpen’s depth. Padres fans can expect to hear the names of Yuki Matsui, David Morgan, Jeremiah Estrada, Wandy Peralta, etc. as the season continues. This is where the question marks begin for the bullpen. Sure, those guys can be trustworthy coming into the game when leading the White Sox by five in September, but they are more difficult to trust in the postseason. If Mike Shildt sends out the wrong guy in sixth inning of a playoff game, those three outs that otherwise would have gone to Adam could cost the Padres their season. Outside of Suarez, Morejon, and Miller, San Diego is going to have to take risks with who they put on the mound. In totality, San Diego’s bullpen depth is still strong, but the margin for error runs much thinner without Adam rounding out the lineup. Come October, expect to see the Padres rely much more on their star relievers than before the injury. View full article
  6. Major League Baseball’s best bullpen just took a huge blow and at the worst time. In the seventh inning of Monday’s loss to Baltimore, Jason Adam went down after a pitch and was carted off the field. On Tuesday, the Padres announced that Adam would miss the remainder of the season, placing him on the 15-day IL with a left quadriceps tendon rupture. The All-Star reliever has been nothing short of stellar this season for San Diego. In 65 1/3 innings (the second-highest mark of his career), Adam has accumulated a 1.93 ERA, 1.148 WHIP, and 2.5 WAR. He's been a tremendous asset amongst a veritable group of elite relievers. With the loss of Adam, the Padres lose arguably their most well-rounded reliever, as well as their go-to option for the middle innings. If it’s not clear by now, Adam is a crucial piece to making the Padres bullpen the best group in MLB. Luckily, he’s not the only star in the ‘pen for San Diego. He was joined by teammates Robert Suarez and Adrian Morejon as Padres relievers to make this year’s Midsummer Classic. A.J. Preller also approached the trade deadline with the intent of making the bullpen even stronger. That was shown by taking a big swing for Mason Miller. If any bullpen is built to withstand a setback like Adam’s injury, it’s this one. There are plenty of names who can fill-in the spots where Adam would be pitching. Miller, Suarez, and Morejon still form a nearly unhittable group on the mound. Having three guys who can step in at any point of the game and completely shutdown opposing offenses is a recipe for success in October. Assuming that Suarez will maintain his duties as closer through September and beyond, Miller and Morejon will (for the most part) fill the void left with Adam’s absence. Both guys are key reasons as to why Adam’s loss is not as detrimental for the Padres as it would be for nearly every other team in the league, and they should be counted on as the primary bridge options to Suarez when the playoffs begin. Since being traded to San Diego, Miller has done exactly as Preller had hoped. A 1.50 ERA and 0.917 WHIP in brown and gold bury any of his numbers with the A’s in the dirt. His arsenal is essentially only two pitches, with his legendary four-seam fastball and slider dominating hitters aplenty. He’s also an absolute flamethrower, with his average fastball clocking in at 101.2 MPH. Although his stuff is completely different from Adam’s, the addition of Miller helps lessen the damage of the injury and provides another elite arm that can rise to the occasion. Morejon also provides big-time prowess to the bullpen. He is simply one of the best relievers in baseball, and the numbers back it up. According to Baseball Savant, Morejon’s pitching run value is in the 96th percentile. That goes along with an outstanding 0.79 and 1.85 ERA in 63 1/3 innings pitched. It’s no question that the Padres bullpen has the star power to fill Adam’s shoes. Where things become questionable is in the play of the bullpen’s depth. Padres fans can expect to hear the names of Yuki Matsui, David Morgan, Jeremiah Estrada, Wandy Peralta, etc. as the season continues. This is where the question marks begin for the bullpen. Sure, those guys can be trustworthy coming into the game when leading the White Sox by five in September, but they are more difficult to trust in the postseason. If Mike Shildt sends out the wrong guy in sixth inning of a playoff game, those three outs that otherwise would have gone to Adam could cost the Padres their season. Outside of Suarez, Morejon, and Miller, San Diego is going to have to take risks with who they put on the mound. In totality, San Diego’s bullpen depth is still strong, but the margin for error runs much thinner without Adam rounding out the lineup. Come October, expect to see the Padres rely much more on their star relievers than before the injury.
  7. The month of August has October-level stakes for the Padres, as four consecutive series against Los Angeles and San Francisco will likely determine the outcome of the NL West. Just a month ago, it seemed like the Dodgers were on a cakewalk to the division title. On July 3, they stood nine games ahead of the Padres and Giants for the division’s top spot. Since that date, the Padres have surged with a 22-12 record, compared to 12-20 records for LA and San Francisco, respectively. Now, tied with Los Angeles for the division lead and nine games ahead of San Francisco, a chance at the NL West crown has become very real for the Padres. As luck will have it, San Diego’s next four series go as this: @SFG, @LAD, vs. SFG, vs. LAD. As it stands, the odds are still heavily in favor of the Dodgers winning the division for a fourth-straight season. FanGraphs' playoff odds model gives them a 70.6% chance at the division title, with the Padres at 29.3% and the Giants at 0.0% (as of the morning of August 13). With the odds against them, the Padres will need to show up and show up big in their upcoming series to put themselves in the division’s driver’s seat. First off, let’s take a look at the battle at the top between the Padres and Dodgers. The clubs are slated to face each other six more times this season, all of those coming in the upcoming weeks. Each game in these series could very well make or break the Padres’ 2025 campaign. In their head-to-head matchups this season, the Padres are just 2-5 against Los Angeles, so they are playing from behind. To earn back the tiebreaker, San Diego will have to dominate the Dodgers the rest of the way. To get this done, the Friars need to win at least five of the six remaining games against their Southern California foes. Even if the Padres are tied with the Dodgers after these series, the odds will be against them. In that case, they’d have to be one game better than the Dodgers in their remaining schedule, excluding head-to-head games. According to Tankathon, San Diego has the second-easiest remaining schedule in the league. So, how hard could it be to gain ground on LA? Well, the Dodgers have the easiest remaining schedule. With virtually the same strength of schedule, it can be assumed that the gap between the Padres and Dodgers will remain around the same. That makes the matchups between them all the more important. To optimize its chances of winning the division title, San Diego will need to win at least five of the remaining head-to-head games. Luckily, this portion of the schedule is coming at the right time for the Padres. As their earlier-mentioned records since July 3 indicate, San Diego is finding its groove as soon as Los Angeles is losing it. The Padres are being given an optimal chance to put destiny in their own hands and take over the division lead. However, this isn’t a two-team battle. At least not yet. The Giants are still lurking at the back of the race, trying to claw their way back into it. By taking care of business this month, the Padres can take them off of life support. Despite the Giants’ sizzling hot start to the season, the Padres have still managed a 5-2 record in their head-to-head matchups. With a much less daunting matchup than the LA series, San Diego can utilize its upcoming series against San Francisco to both knock them out of the race and gain ground in the division. The Giants are not just trying to ride the Padres’ coattails in the divisional race, but also in the Wild Card race. FanGraphs gives them just a 5.7% chance to clinch a Wild Card spot, so a couple of series wins for the Padres against them would dwindle those chances even closer to zero. Each time San Diego beats San Francisco, the Giants’ odds get even grimmer. Before Monday’s victory over the Giants, San Francisco had a 7.7% chance of a postseason clinch. Those odds dropped 2% after the game, showing the sheer weight each loss holds. A strong showing in August’s two series against the Giants can help push the Padres’ other California division rival to near-zero playoff odds. Not only would this help San Diego get one more team out of their vicinity, but it would also help them creep closer to the top of the NL West. If the trends continue, the Padres have a golden opportunity to take advantage of their Golden State rivals this month. An opportunity to enhance playoff position to this degree before September even begins is rare, so they have to be prepared to play October-level baseball in these series. If the Padres can do that, the NL could very well be theirs. View full article
  8. The month of August has October-level stakes for the Padres, as four consecutive series against Los Angeles and San Francisco will likely determine the outcome of the NL West. Just a month ago, it seemed like the Dodgers were on a cakewalk to the division title. On July 3, they stood nine games ahead of the Padres and Giants for the division’s top spot. Since that date, the Padres have surged with a 22-12 record, compared to 12-20 records for LA and San Francisco, respectively. Now, tied with Los Angeles for the division lead and nine games ahead of San Francisco, a chance at the NL West crown has become very real for the Padres. As luck will have it, San Diego’s next four series go as this: @SFG, @LAD, vs. SFG, vs. LAD. As it stands, the odds are still heavily in favor of the Dodgers winning the division for a fourth-straight season. FanGraphs' playoff odds model gives them a 70.6% chance at the division title, with the Padres at 29.3% and the Giants at 0.0% (as of the morning of August 13). With the odds against them, the Padres will need to show up and show up big in their upcoming series to put themselves in the division’s driver’s seat. First off, let’s take a look at the battle at the top between the Padres and Dodgers. The clubs are slated to face each other six more times this season, all of those coming in the upcoming weeks. Each game in these series could very well make or break the Padres’ 2025 campaign. In their head-to-head matchups this season, the Padres are just 2-5 against Los Angeles, so they are playing from behind. To earn back the tiebreaker, San Diego will have to dominate the Dodgers the rest of the way. To get this done, the Friars need to win at least five of the six remaining games against their Southern California foes. Even if the Padres are tied with the Dodgers after these series, the odds will be against them. In that case, they’d have to be one game better than the Dodgers in their remaining schedule, excluding head-to-head games. According to Tankathon, San Diego has the second-easiest remaining schedule in the league. So, how hard could it be to gain ground on LA? Well, the Dodgers have the easiest remaining schedule. With virtually the same strength of schedule, it can be assumed that the gap between the Padres and Dodgers will remain around the same. That makes the matchups between them all the more important. To optimize its chances of winning the division title, San Diego will need to win at least five of the remaining head-to-head games. Luckily, this portion of the schedule is coming at the right time for the Padres. As their earlier-mentioned records since July 3 indicate, San Diego is finding its groove as soon as Los Angeles is losing it. The Padres are being given an optimal chance to put destiny in their own hands and take over the division lead. However, this isn’t a two-team battle. At least not yet. The Giants are still lurking at the back of the race, trying to claw their way back into it. By taking care of business this month, the Padres can take them off of life support. Despite the Giants’ sizzling hot start to the season, the Padres have still managed a 5-2 record in their head-to-head matchups. With a much less daunting matchup than the LA series, San Diego can utilize its upcoming series against San Francisco to both knock them out of the race and gain ground in the division. The Giants are not just trying to ride the Padres’ coattails in the divisional race, but also in the Wild Card race. FanGraphs gives them just a 5.7% chance to clinch a Wild Card spot, so a couple of series wins for the Padres against them would dwindle those chances even closer to zero. Each time San Diego beats San Francisco, the Giants’ odds get even grimmer. Before Monday’s victory over the Giants, San Francisco had a 7.7% chance of a postseason clinch. Those odds dropped 2% after the game, showing the sheer weight each loss holds. A strong showing in August’s two series against the Giants can help push the Padres’ other California division rival to near-zero playoff odds. Not only would this help San Diego get one more team out of their vicinity, but it would also help them creep closer to the top of the NL West. If the trends continue, the Padres have a golden opportunity to take advantage of their Golden State rivals this month. An opportunity to enhance playoff position to this degree before September even begins is rare, so they have to be prepared to play October-level baseball in these series. If the Padres can do that, the NL could very well be theirs.
  9. Pinch-hitting has been an Achilles' heel for the Padres’ offense in 2025. According to FanGraphs, San Diego’s pinch-hitting ranks 28th in MLB with a depressing -0.5 WAR, .217 wOBA, and .156 AVG. The only Padres pinch hitter to produce positive WAR is Jake Cronenworth, who has only three at-bats when inserted into an at-bat, walking in two of them and driving in an RBI single in the other. Aside from Cronenworth’s small sample size, minimal positive impact has come from San Diego’s bench. A lot of that comes from its dependence on aging bench players, who are not able to provide the spark off the bench that pinch-hitters are expected to do. The club has primarily relied on veteran hitting off the bench this season, mostly turning to players 30 years old and beyond to spark offense off the bench. Among those veterans, Elias Diaz, Jose Iglesias, Trenton Brooks, and Tyler Wade have spent the most plate appearances pinch-hitting for San Diego. This group of players, all on the wrong side of 30, has been the Padres’ most-used pinch-hitters, mainly contributing to their pinch-hitting woes. Each one of them has a zero WAR or lower, which is not going to cut it for players who come up to the plate at some of the game’s most critical points. The 35-year-old Iglesias, the oldest of the bunch, has been the club’s best contributor off the bench. In 17 plate appearances as a pinch hitter, he has a .313 AVG with 4 RBIs and two runs. His average is quite a step up from his season batting average, which sits at .232. Throughout his career, Iglesias has been one of the best contact hitters in the game, so his bench production is not surprising. But after Iglesias, any kind of positive pinch-hitting production for San Diego drops off a cliff. 34-year-old catcher Diaz has been the Padres’ most-used pinch-hitter this season, with 19 plate appearances, and has been by far the worst hitter off of their bench this season. His numbers as a PH are somehow worse than as a starter this season, batting just .056 with a -0.3 WAR. If this is the production you’re getting from the highest volume pinch-hitter on the roster, then any hope of positive bench production is a lost cause. After acquiring Freddy Fermin at the deadline, Diaz will spend a lot more time as the backup catcher, which is a dangerous precedent for more pinch-hitting opportunities. The much younger Luis Campusano has been dominating Triple A and should get an opportunity to replace Diaz and plug a spark off the bench. However, that should be taken with a grain of salt given his previous stints in the big leagues. The next-worst pinch-hitter for San Diego has been Brooks, who mustered a .154 AVG and -0.1 WAR in 13 plate appearances as a pinch hitter for the Padres. The 30-year-old was designated for assignment on July 31, but is yet another example of an older, low-production player getting an abundance of pinch-hitting opportunities for the club. Right there with Brooks is Wade, another 30-year-old getting plenty of the spotlight on San Diego’s bench. As PH, Wade is only batting .100 and producing -0.1 WAR. Wade has done that in 12 plate appearances, the fourth-most of Padres pinch hitters. Shockingly, these players aren’t the only veterans the Padres have turned to produce off the bench this season. 41-year-old Yuli Gurriel and 35-year-old Jason Heyward also put up lackluster numbers off the bench, later getting designated for assignment. Comparing the Padres' bench full of veterans to the highest-ranking pinch-hitting groups in MLB, there is a night-and-day difference. Colorado (somehow) and Detroit sit atop their respective leagues in pinch-hitting WAR. What do those teams have in common? The pinch-hitters on their rosters are mostly younger than 30. The strategy of using veterans to fill in at PH is not the formula for a successful bench. Younger players with more to prove may be able to provide the sparks off the bench that San Diego’s offense lacks. Luckily, the resources are there to make it a possibility for the Padres. In addition to calling up Campusano, there are some more options to turn San Diego’s bench younger. After trading for Ramon Laureano to fill duties in left field, Gavin Sheets is likely to spend more time coming off the bench. A younger player with proven firepower might be exactly what the Padres need to turn things around for their depth hitting. It may not be entirely possible to do with just a few months left in the season, but a youth movement can turn the bench in the right direction for the Padres. View full article
  10. Pinch-hitting has been an Achilles' heel for the Padres’ offense in 2025. According to FanGraphs, San Diego’s pinch-hitting ranks 28th in MLB with a depressing -0.5 WAR, .217 wOBA, and .156 AVG. The only Padres pinch hitter to produce positive WAR is Jake Cronenworth, who has only three at-bats when inserted into an at-bat, walking in two of them and driving in an RBI single in the other. Aside from Cronenworth’s small sample size, minimal positive impact has come from San Diego’s bench. A lot of that comes from its dependence on aging bench players, who are not able to provide the spark off the bench that pinch-hitters are expected to do. The club has primarily relied on veteran hitting off the bench this season, mostly turning to players 30 years old and beyond to spark offense off the bench. Among those veterans, Elias Diaz, Jose Iglesias, Trenton Brooks, and Tyler Wade have spent the most plate appearances pinch-hitting for San Diego. This group of players, all on the wrong side of 30, has been the Padres’ most-used pinch-hitters, mainly contributing to their pinch-hitting woes. Each one of them has a zero WAR or lower, which is not going to cut it for players who come up to the plate at some of the game’s most critical points. The 35-year-old Iglesias, the oldest of the bunch, has been the club’s best contributor off the bench. In 17 plate appearances as a pinch hitter, he has a .313 AVG with 4 RBIs and two runs. His average is quite a step up from his season batting average, which sits at .232. Throughout his career, Iglesias has been one of the best contact hitters in the game, so his bench production is not surprising. But after Iglesias, any kind of positive pinch-hitting production for San Diego drops off a cliff. 34-year-old catcher Diaz has been the Padres’ most-used pinch-hitter this season, with 19 plate appearances, and has been by far the worst hitter off of their bench this season. His numbers as a PH are somehow worse than as a starter this season, batting just .056 with a -0.3 WAR. If this is the production you’re getting from the highest volume pinch-hitter on the roster, then any hope of positive bench production is a lost cause. After acquiring Freddy Fermin at the deadline, Diaz will spend a lot more time as the backup catcher, which is a dangerous precedent for more pinch-hitting opportunities. The much younger Luis Campusano has been dominating Triple A and should get an opportunity to replace Diaz and plug a spark off the bench. However, that should be taken with a grain of salt given his previous stints in the big leagues. The next-worst pinch-hitter for San Diego has been Brooks, who mustered a .154 AVG and -0.1 WAR in 13 plate appearances as a pinch hitter for the Padres. The 30-year-old was designated for assignment on July 31, but is yet another example of an older, low-production player getting an abundance of pinch-hitting opportunities for the club. Right there with Brooks is Wade, another 30-year-old getting plenty of the spotlight on San Diego’s bench. As PH, Wade is only batting .100 and producing -0.1 WAR. Wade has done that in 12 plate appearances, the fourth-most of Padres pinch hitters. Shockingly, these players aren’t the only veterans the Padres have turned to produce off the bench this season. 41-year-old Yuli Gurriel and 35-year-old Jason Heyward also put up lackluster numbers off the bench, later getting designated for assignment. Comparing the Padres' bench full of veterans to the highest-ranking pinch-hitting groups in MLB, there is a night-and-day difference. Colorado (somehow) and Detroit sit atop their respective leagues in pinch-hitting WAR. What do those teams have in common? The pinch-hitters on their rosters are mostly younger than 30. The strategy of using veterans to fill in at PH is not the formula for a successful bench. Younger players with more to prove may be able to provide the sparks off the bench that San Diego’s offense lacks. Luckily, the resources are there to make it a possibility for the Padres. In addition to calling up Campusano, there are some more options to turn San Diego’s bench younger. After trading for Ramon Laureano to fill duties in left field, Gavin Sheets is likely to spend more time coming off the bench. A younger player with proven firepower might be exactly what the Padres need to turn things around for their depth hitting. It may not be entirely possible to do with just a few months left in the season, but a youth movement can turn the bench in the right direction for the Padres.
  11. As the trade deadline approaches, a new name has entered the Padres’ radar. Dominican MLB insider Hector Gomez of Z101 Digital reported Tuesday that trade discussions between the Padres and Braves have “intensified”, with San Diego expressing heavy interest in DH Marcell Ozuna. Gomez suggested that the Padres would send a return of RHP Francis Pena and RHP Ryan Bergert, the organization’s No. 18 and No. 21 prospects, to Atlanta. Ozuna would likely fill the DH spot in the Padres’ lineup, despite spending most of his career in left field. He has taken a step back at the plate this season, slashing .235/.361/.390 with 13 home runs and 42 RBI. However, he finished fourth in NL MVP voting in 2024, compiling an impressive line of .302/.378/.546, mashing 39 home runs and 104 RBI. The 34-year-old is in the final year of a four-year $65 million contract, meaning he’d likely be a rental piece to help the Padres in their push for the postseason. It would be a steep price for an aging rental player, so San Diego would need Ozuna to play similarly to his 2024 version to make it pay off.
  12. As the trade deadline approaches, a new name has entered the Padres’ radar. Dominican MLB insider Hector Gomez of Z101 Digital reported Tuesday that trade discussions between the Padres and Braves have “intensified”, with San Diego expressing heavy interest in DH Marcell Ozuna. Gomez suggested that the Padres would send a return of RHP Francis Pena and RHP Ryan Bergert, the organization’s No. 18 and No. 21 prospects, to Atlanta. Ozuna would likely fill the DH spot in the Padres’ lineup, despite spending most of his career in left field. He has taken a step back at the plate this season, slashing .235/.361/.390 with 13 home runs and 42 RBI. However, he finished fourth in NL MVP voting in 2024, compiling an impressive line of .302/.378/.546, mashing 39 home runs and 104 RBI. The 34-year-old is in the final year of a four-year $65 million contract, meaning he’d likely be a rental piece to help the Padres in their push for the postseason. It would be a steep price for an aging rental player, so San Diego would need Ozuna to play similarly to his 2024 version to make it pay off. View full rumor
  13. Believe it or not, the Padres have overperformed so far this season. Despite sitting in the final NL Wild Card spot with a 52-44 record at the All-Star break (the following statistics were compiled before play resumed on Friday, although two games will not significantly impact the math), 2025 has felt underwhelming for San Diego. Although not living up to expectations, things could (and probably should) be going a lot worse in America’s Finest City. According to FanGraphs, both BaseRuns and Pythagorean expectation estimate that the Padres should be sitting at a 49-47 record, right in the middle of the league standings. Playing at an average level of baseball will not get the Padres anywhere near where they expect to be. First of all, why do these metrics matter? Well, they predict what a team’s record should be, based on the amount of runs scored compared to runs against. Stripping the game down to these numbers makes it easy to tell if a team is under- or overachieving based on their run production. Most importantly, both the Pythagorean record and BaseRuns are better predictors of future performance than the current team record. BaseRuns takes into account the number of times a team “should” score, given their hits, walks, at-bats, total bases, and home runs. It does the same thing on the defensive side, to estimate what the team’s record should be. For the Padres, BaseRuns estimates 4.07 runs scored per game, vs. 3.95 runs against. Though their differential is slightly positive, it is well behind what the actual World Series contenders are generating. For example, the Cubs, who have the best BaseRuns record in the National League, boast an impressive differential of 5.27 RS/G and 4.24 RA/G. Unfortunately, BaseRuns isn’t the end of the gloomy metrics for San Diego. As mentioned earlier, Pythagorean expectation has the Padres at the same 49-47 record, which simply does not cut it. Pythagorean expectation follows a similar, yet simpler formula than BaseRuns, (runs scored^2) / [(runs scored^2) + (runs allowed^2)]. Essentially, this formula predicts a team’s record purely based on their runs scored and runs against. Pythagorean estimates a +3 run differential and .508 winning percentage for the Padres, which is still far from their contending counterparts. To put it simply, the Padres are overperforming this season, and the numbers back it up. Sure, overperforming isn’t “bad” per se, but it is a concerning precedent for how the rest of the season will play out. It is clear that change is needed to get the organization back on track, but what should they do? Luckily, the time of year to make moves is approaching. The MLB Trade Deadline falls on July 31, and the Padres must be active in the trade market. Specifically, two glaring holes in their lineup need to be addressed: catcher and left field. The obvious move that San Diego is expected to make is acquiring left fielder Jarren Duran from the Boston Red Sox. Rumors have swirled about Duran being shipped down to San Diego, shifting the focus from whether the trade will happen to how or when it will occur. The Padres have attempted to play eight different players in left this season, none of whom have met the team’s needs. Adding the 2024 All-Star to the squad would bring both dynamic fielding and a talented bat to a much-needed hole in San Diego’s lineup. The void at catcher is more of a need for the club, but there is not a surefire player to fill the void, like they have in Duran. Luckily, literally any addition behind the plate would be an upgrade for the Padres. A few names to keep an eye on are Atlanta’s Sean Murphy, Korey Lee of the White Sox, and Minnesota’s Ryan Jeffers, written about previously on Padres Mission. Adding a catcher with offensive capabilities would fill a crisis in San Diego’s lineup, while helping produce more much-needed runs. Another issue for the Padres is that their big names are not consistent enough. The club has a significant amount of money invested in a core of top players who need to produce at a more consistent rate. This is especially true for Fernando Tatis Jr. and Jackson Merrill, who have slowed down significantly after strong starts to the season. Both Tatis Jr. and Merrill were arguably playing at MVP levels before their stats plummeted in the summer. Since May 31, they have been batting .269 and .200, respectively, with only five combined home runs. Tatis Jr. has recovered a bit after a horrendous May at the plate, but both players need to play up to their contracts to turn the ship around into October. The last change the Padres need is a change in health, specifically in the starting rotation. The BaseRuns statistic of 3.95 RA/G is actually amongst the league’s best in that category, making a change in pitching less urgent for the Friars. However, that does not mean everything is perfect on the mound. The club’s starting rotation is still battling through injuries, which needs to be different to ensure any kind of postseason dreams. Yu Darvish has recently returned to the lineup, but Michael King is still sidelined on the 60-day Injured List, with Joe Musgrove already sidelined for the year. San Diego needs to find a way to have its pitchers healthy for the final stretch of the season. Whether it's managing the amount of innings the starters throw or relying on more bullpen games down the stretch, something has to be done to prevent the talented pitching group from falling apart. The opportunities are there for the Padres to turn the tide on their 2025 bid; it just needs to happen fast with marginal room for error.
  14. Believe it or not, the Padres have overperformed so far this season. Despite sitting in the final NL Wild Card spot with a 52-44 record at the All-Star break, 2025 has felt underwhelming for San Diego. Although not living up to expectations, things could (and probably should) be going a lot worse in America’s Finest City. According to FanGraphs, both BaseRuns and Pythagorean expectation estimate that the Padres should be sitting at a 49-47 record, right in the middle of the league standings. Playing such an average level of baseball will get the Padres nowhere near where they expect to be. First of all, why do these metrics matter? Well, they predict what a team’s record should be, based on the amount of runs scored compared to runs against. Stripping the game down to these numbers makes it easy to tell if a team is under or overachieving based on their run production. BaseRuns takes into account the amount of times a team “should” score, given their hits, walks, at bats, total bases, and home runs. It does the same thing on the defensive side, to estimate what the team’s record should be. For the Padres, BaseRuns estimates 4.07 runs scored per game, vs. 3.95 runs against. Though their differential is slightly positive, it is well behind what the true World Series contenders are generating. For example, the Cubs, who have the best BaseRuns record in the National League, boast an impressive differential of 5.27 RS/G and 4.24 RA/G. Unfortunately, BaseRuns isn’t the end of the glooming metrics for San Diego. As mentioned earlier, Pythagorean expectation has the Padres at the same 49-47 record, which simply does not cut it. Pythagorean expectation follows a similar, yet more simple formula than BaseRuns, (runs scored ^ 2) / [(runs scored ^ 2) + (runs allowed ^ 2)]. Essentially, this formula predicts a team’s record purely based on their runs scored and runs against. Pythagorean estimates a +3 run differential and .508 winning percentage for the Padres, which is still far from their contending counterparts. To put it in simple terms, the Padres are overperforming this season, and the numbers support it. Sure, overperforming isn’t “bad” per se, but it is a concerning precedent for how the rest of the season will play out. It is clear that change is needed to get the organization back on track, but what should they do? Luckily, the time of year to make moves is approaching. The MLB Trade Deadline falls on July 31, and it is critical for the Padres to be active in the trade market. Specifically, there are two glaring holes in their lineup that need to be addressed: catcher and left field. The obvious move that San Diego is expected to make is acquiring left fielder Jarren Duran from the Boston Red Sox. Rumors have swirled about Duran being shipped down to San Diego, turning the matter more into how or when the trade will go down than if it will happen. The Padres have attempted playing eight different players in left this season, none meeting the team’s necessity. Adding the 2024 All-Star to the squad would bring both dynamic fielding and a talented bat to a much-needed hole in San Diego’s lineup. The void at catcher is more of a need for the club, but there is not a surefire player to fill the void, like they have in Duran. Luckily, literally any addition behind the plate would be an upgrade for the Padres. A few names to keep an eye on are Atlanta’s Sean Murphy, Korey Lee of the White Sox, and Minnesota’s Ryan Jeffers. Adding a catcher with offensive capabilities would fill a crisis in San Diego’s lineup, while helping produce more much-needed runs. Another issue for the Padres is that their big names are not consistent enough. The club has a lot of money invested in a core of big-time players who need to produce at a more consistent rate. This especially includes Fernando Tatis Jr. and Jackson Merrill, who have slowed down tremendously after hot starts to the season. Both Tatis Jr. and Merrill were arguably playing at MVP levels, before their stats plummeted into the summer. Since May 31, they are batting .269 and .200 respectively, with only 5 combined home runs. Tatis Jr. has recovered a bit after a horrendous May at the plate, but both players need to play up to their contracts in order to turn the ship around into October. The last change the Padres need is a change in health, specifically in the starting rotation. The BaseRuns statistic of 3.95 RA/G is actually amongst the league’s best in that category, making change in pitching less urgent for the Friars. However, that does not mean everything is perfect on the mound. The club’s starting rotation is still battling through injuries, which needs to be different to ensure any kind of postseason dreams. Yu Darvish has recently returned to the lineup, but Michael King is still sidelined on the 60-day Injured List, with Joe Musgrove already sidelined for the year. San Diego needs to find a way to have its pitchers healthy for the final stretch of the season. Whether it's managing the amount of innings the starters throw or relying on more bullpen games down the stretch, something has to be done to prevent the talented pitching group from falling apart. The opportunities are there for the Padres to turn the tides on their 2025 bid, it just needs to happen fast with marginal room for error. View full article
  15. Weekly Overlook: Record: 3-3 (48-41 overall) Runs Scored: 18 Runs Allowed: 23 Standings: 2nd in NL West, 7.0 GB LAD Game 84 (6/30) | PHI 4, SD 0 Game 85 (7/2) | SD 6, PHI 4 Game 86 (7/2) | PHI 5, SD 1 Game 87 (7/4) | SD 3, TEX 2 Game 88 (7/5) | TEX 7, SD 4 Game 89 (7/6) | SD 4, TEX 1 Transactions: 07/06/25 - Optioned RHP Stephen Kolek to AAA El Paso. 07/06/25 - Recalled LHP Kyle Hart from AAA El Paso. 07/03/25 - Optioned RHP Ron Marinaccio to AAA El Paso. 07/02/25 - Recalled RHP Ron Marinaccio from AAA El Paso. 07/02/25 - Optioned RHP Matt Waldron to AAA El Paso. 07/02/25 - Selected the contract of RHP Eduarniel Nunez from AAA El Paso. 07/02/25 - Sent RHP Logan Gillaspie outright to AAA El Paso. 06/30/25 - Activated RHP Logan Gillaspie from the 15-day IL. 06/30/25 - Designated RHP Logan Gillaspie for assignment. 06/30/25 - Recalled RHP Matt Waldron from AAA El Paso. 06/30/25 - Optioned RHP Sean Reynolds to AAA El Paso. How it happened: The Padres started their week by heading out east to Philadelphia for a three-game series against the NL East-leading Phillies. Monday’s series opener featured the season debut for Matt Waldron, who was pitching in place of Ryan Bergert. Philadelphia went to work against Waldron, knocking six hits and scoring four runs in his 4 2/3 innings pitched. Despite San Diego’s bullpen not allowing any runs, the Friars failed to generate anything at the plate and fell to the Phillies 4-0. Tuesday’s game was postponed due to rain, setting the Padres and Phillies up for a Wednesday double-header on the 32nd anniversary of a double-header between the same two teams ending in the latest ending in MLB history. In the first leg of the double-header, things went well for the Padres. An offensive explosion in the second inning, backed by yet another solid outing from former Phillie Nick Pivetta, gave San Diego a 6-0 lead. Despite Philadelphia getting the better of the Padres’ bullpen late in the game, Robert Suarez escaped trouble, resulting in a 6-4 victory. In between Wednesday’s games, Manny Machado was announced as the NL’s starting third baseman for the MLB All-Star game. This marks Machado’s seventh career All-Star selection and fourth start amongst those. The nod came in a milestone week for Machado, as he inched closer to 2,000 career hits. Later in the week, it was announced that Machado’s teammates Fernando Tatis Jr. and Jason Adam would be joining him in Atlanta. Although it’s been a rough go for Tatis Jr. lately, an MVP-caliber start to the season was enough to put him over the edge. For Adam, a resounding 1.65 ERA and 1.191 WHIP made this selection a no-brainer. As it turns out, leading a bullpen amongst the best in baseball typically earns a spot in the Midsummer Classic. Unfortunately, the excitement from Machado’s All-Star announcement did not carry over to the field for the latter half of the doubleheader. The second game hummed a similar tune to Monday’s loss, where the Padres could not generate anything. Dylan Cease had yet another start where he did not make it past the sixth inning. On top of that, run support from the Padres’ offense was yet again minimal, which resulted in a 5-1 loss and a series defeat. In a series of a few bright spots at the plate for San Diego, Xander Bogaerts extended his hit streak to five games, accumulating five hits in the series. In addition to a strong series in Cincinnati, this success at the plate is much needed for Bogaerts, who is yet to live up to his massive contract. His successful road trip is worth keeping an eye on, as it could potentially be the start of a much-needed turnaround. After a day off on Thursday, the Padres came home to host a weekend series against the Texas Rangers. The series started on the Fourth of July, which started off looking eerily similar to San Diego’s recent losses. Texas scored two early runs off of Randy Vasquez, who has struggled in recent outings. On top of that, the Padres' bats stayed cold the first time through the order. However, a fourth-inning home run by Machado turned the tide at Petco Park, and a clean sheet from the Friars’ bullpen helped carry a tie game into extra innings. With a tie game and bases loaded in the tenth, Jake Cronenworth got the Fourth of July fireworks off to an early start in San Diego. On a 2-1 count with two outs, Cronenworth popped a single to left field, which brought home Jackson Merrill, resulting in a walk-off win. The holiday magic was not present for the Padres on Saturday. A rough outing from Stephen Kolek put San Diego in a hole too deep to get out of. 6 earned runs in 5.1 innings put the Padres down 6-2 through six innings. Despite a late push to cut the lead in half and a 4-hit performance from Luis Arraez, Saturday wasn’t the Padres' night, ending in a 7-4 loss. On Sunday, the Padres finally produced quality performances at the plate and on the mound, making it their most complete game of the series. San Diego turned to its bullpen for the series finale, and it continued its lights-out pitching. David Morgan pitched through the first inning, allowing a run in the opening frame. After that, Kyle Hart, Jeremiah Estrada, Adam, Adrian Morejon, and Suarez combined to allow no runs in the final eight frames. Sunday’s bullpen performance was a showcase of what has been the club’s best and most consistent aspect as of late. On top of that, a near-perfect performance at the plate from Tatis Jr. and multi-hit nights from Bogaerts, Arraez, and Martin Maldonado gave the bullpen the run support that it’s lacked lately. Sunday’s all-around performance by the Padres won them the series against Texas and made it another week of .500 baseball. They will stay cozy at Petco Park next week, hosting NL West foe Arizona and taking on Philadelphia in the latter half. San Diego remains right in the thick of the NL Wild Card race, tied with San Francisco for the final postseason spot. Upcoming Schedule: July 7, 2025 - Diamondbacks @ Padres - 6:40 PM PDT July 8, 2025 - Diamondbacks @ Padres - 6:40 PM PDT July 9, 2025 - Diamondbacks @ Padres - 6:40 PM PDT July 11, 2025 - Phillies @ Padres - 6:40 PM PDT July 12, 2025 - Phillies @ Padres - 4:35 PM PDT July 13, 2025 - Phillies @ Padres - 1:10 PM PDT
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