Steve Drumwright

As the calendar nears February, just a couple weeks away from the beginning of spring training, the San Diego Padres' roster feels incomplete. Another starting pitcher and a player on the right side of the infield, whether at second base or first, would make Friars fans more comfortable as the Padres attempt to dethrone the Los Angeles Dodgers not only in the NL West, but as two-time defending World Series champions. What could be the holdup? Certainly not the curiosity of A.J. Preller, the Padres' president of baseball operations. Preller crawls under rocks to find players to bring to San Diego and goes out and gets them. While the overall tenor of this offseason has been slow, with more movement in January than in the month of December and the Winter Meetings, the Padres have clearly been limited for financial reasons. If they wanted to add a premier arm via free agency, that would cost anywhere from $20 million to $30 million. A hitter, especially with those remaining on the market, would be less than that. Not a problem, right? Petco Park is sold out basically every night, which means lots of food, drink and memorabilia sold at every home game. Except for one thing. The Padres' payroll sits at about $226 million per Spotrac and $217 million per Cot's. Those are Opening Day salary numbers and not competitive-balance tax numbers, which are the ones that owners truly care about regarding paying potential penalties for various thresholds. Those jump up to $269 million and $263 million, respectively. The level at which teams started paying a CBT penalty in 2025 was $241 million. The Padres' CBT payroll in 2025 was $270 million, on which they paid a 32% penalty on the amount above $241 million. That means a roughly $9.3 million tax from last year. The penalties increase each consecutive year a team is a payor. (For clarity, it is a 20% flat charge for a first-year violation on anything over the first threshold with a $12% addition for being $20 million-$40 million above that number. That gets you to 32%.) That $241 million modestly increases to $244 million in 2026, per the current collective bargaining agreement. Taking the lower of the $269 million (Spotrac) and $263 million (Cot's) projected CBT payrolls, which includes benefits payments and contributions for the one-to-three-year player-pool bonuses, that puts the Friars at $19 million above the initial CBT threshold. As a second-year payor, that hikes the Padres' tax rate to a 30%, Going above $264 million, which is a certainty as the roster is currently constructed, adds the 12% penalty for being $20 million-$40 million above the initial threshold. That makes the total tax at this point 42%. At the lowest end of that, the Friars face an $8.4 million penalty. That is without spending another dollar above $264 million. A $10 million signing or acquisition, barring any subtractions in a trade, would put that number at $274 million and a $12.6 million tax. Adding another $20 million in payroll this season would put the Padres at $284 million, which is $40 million above the initial threshold and jumps the 12% surcharge to 42.5%. That would make the penalty 72.5% for anything above $244 million and take the financial hit to $29 million. For a team that has reportedly had past financial issues and is currently being shopped around for sale, that would seem to be a steep price. Unless, of course, a sale is further down the road than we are aware of and the new, deep-pocketed owner has given their approval. Which, as you know, is unlikely, and would still be a hard sell given the copious amounts of onerous, long-term contracts the Friars have on the books. In 2023, the Padres had the highest payroll in franchise history at $291.2 million. This season is rapidly approaching besting last year's $270 million, the No. 2 figure. Pending changes to the CBA next offseason, the Friars are facing a third straight year of being a payor in 2027. Under the current system, that would hike the base tax rate from 30% to 50%. The question remains: Are the Padres willing to spend more to compete or roll the dice with what they have? View full article

With the San Diego Padres still looking to bolster their starting rotation, the team has been connected with a pitcher they have seen a lot in recent years. That would be right-hander Zac Gallen, a free agent after pitching for the Arizona Diamondbacks since 2019. According to MLB Network insider Jon Heyman, the Friars have "checked in" on Gallen. But Heyman also immediately threw water on the idea by grouping the Padres with the Los Angeles Angels and saying those two teams aren't "big spenders." Instead, Heyman points to a return to the Diamondbacks as a possibility due to Gallen having a qualifying offer, while the Chicago Cubs and Baltimore Orioles would be the other top contenders. Gallen had a bumpy 2025, with a 4.50 FIP and 4.83 ERA in 33 starts, although he was much better down the stretch, with a 3.32 ERA after Aug. 1. View full rumor

It is a good thing the San Diego Padres have three left-handers in their current bullpen setup for the 2026 season. All three are going to be vital in matchups against the Los Angeles Dodgers, the back-to-back World Series champions who feature four left-handed hitters in their starting lineup. All four are superstar-quality hitters following the recent addition of free-agent right fielder Kyle Tucker on a four-year, $240 million contract. If you thought that Adrian Morejon, Wandy Peralta and Yuki Matsui already had their hands full with the Dodgers' Shohei Ohtani, Freddie Freeman and Max Muncy, Tucker just adds to the problem. Morejon shoulders the brunt of the key-situation responsibility as the top lefty out of the Friars' bullpen. Overall, the soon-to-be 27-year-old, set to become a free agent after the 2026 season, does well against left-handed hitters, sporting a .225 opponent batting average. But it isn't the same against the Dodgers' quartet, even if it does come in a small sample size. Once thought to be a closer-in-waiting for the Padres, Matsui has turned out to be a middle-innings bullpen piece as he enters his third season since coming over from Japan. Matsui has allowed an opponent batting average of .241 to left-handed batters in MLB, while Peralta is at .221 and Morejon is at .225. Containing Ohtani has been difficult, even for the Padres. Morejon, Peralta and Matsui have allowed 10 hits in 32 at-bats (.313) to the four-time MVP. Freeman has also owned Peralta (5-for-12), but Morejon and Matsui have limited him to just a 2-for-15 line. This trio will need to be at its best if the Padres are to have a shot at competing with the Dodgers in 2026. View full article

With about a week before rosters are announced for all World Baseball Classic teams, right fielder Fernando Tatis Jr. of the San Diego Padres was named to represent the Dominican Republic. Tatis was not on the DR's roster for the 2023 WBC as he was coming off a 2022 season in which he was injured and then suspended for using a performance-enhancing drug that lasted into the 2023 season. Padres teammate Manny Machado, the third baseman who was on the Dominican Republic's roster for the last WBC, has not yet been officially named to the team but is expected to be on the 30-player roster. The Dominican Republic often has the most talented roster of any WBC team. The DR was the pre-tournament favorite in 2023, but went 2-2 in pool play and did not advance to the knockout round. View full rumor

Samad Taylor, an infielder-outfielder who has seen MLB action with two teams, has reportedly signed a minor-league contract with the San Diego Padres. Taylor also received a non-roster invite to spring training. The 27-year-old was a 10th-round draft choice by Cleveland in the 2016 draft out of Corona High School, about 90 minutes north of San Diego. Taylor was recently designated for assignment by the Seattle Mariners and elected free agency. Taylor has appeared in 38 MLB games, including seven over the past two seasons with the Mariners. He made his MLB debut in 2023 with the Kansas City Royals, playing in 31 games. Taylor has a career slash line of .205/.272/.260 with no homers, four RBIs, and eight stolen bases. He was dealt by Cleveland at the 2017 trade deadline, with left-hander Thomas Pannone to the Toronto Blue Jays for right-hander Joe Smith. At the 2022 deadline, he was shipped to the Royals with right-hander Max Castillo for second baseman Whit Merrifield. Taylor was on the move once again in January 2024, going from the Royals to the Mariners for a player to be named, which became right-hander Natanael Garabitos. Taylor will battle for the last outfield spot on the Padres' roster with the likes of Tirso Ornelas. View full rumor

The San Diego Padres have a new top prospect. At least according to MLB Pipeline. Kruz Schoolcraft, the 6-foot-8 left-handed starting pitcher who was the Friars' top pick in last summer's draft, was named the No. 88 prospect in all of baseball as revealed on MLB Network on Friday. Schoolcraft was the only Padre on the Top 100 list. He was ranked 95th in the season-ending rankings by MLB Pipeline. Selected with the 25th pick in the first round out of Sunset High School in Portland, Ore., the 18-year-old pitched in just one game after being drafted, getting his feet wet with the Low A Lake Elsinore Storm. That would be the likely starting spot for Schoolcraft for the 2026 season. Schoolcraft was also a first baseman in high school, but he is focusing on pitching to begin his pro career. Catcher Ethan Salas, the Padres' top prospect after the trade of Leo De Vries to the A's in the Mason Miller deal, fell out of the Top 100 after being No. 77 at the end of 2025. In 2024, Salas was MLB Pipeline's No. 8 prospect in all of baseball. View full rumor

Before the Milwaukee Brewers shipped ace Freddy Peralta to the New York Mets, the San Diego Padres were in contention for the right-hander's services. This according to a report by Ken Rosenthal of The Athletic, who said the Padres, Texas Rangers, San Francisco Giants and Minnesota Twins were in the conversation late. But Rosenthal said the Brewers went with the Mets in part because New York had been the most persistent team. The question from the Padres' perspective is if they had the prospect capital to make a Peralta deal happen. The Brewers received two of the Mets' top-five prospects in infielder-outfielder Jett Williams and right-handed starter Brandon Sproat. While Williams likely needs a little more time in the minors, Sproat is expected to contend for a spot in the Crew's rotation this spring. The prospect closest to matching what the Brewers were seeking, MLB-ready talent, is right-handed starter Miguel Mendez, who ranks as the No. 8 prospect in the Friars' system by MLB Pipeline. But Mendez had only six games at the Double-A level in 2025 and probably has another year in the minors before truly being an MLB option. There are no position players that would have fit that mold, either, even when you consider the Padres' MLB roster. View full rumor

We all know the San Diego Padres are in need of another arm (or two) for the starting rotation, and with the way the free-agent market is moving, there are still plenty of fish in the sea. But according to a report Tuesday by Ken Rosenthal of The Athletic, Friars president of baseball operations A.J. Preller is willing to do what he did last offseason — wait out the market and save some cash. Another key part of the report was Rosenthal mentioning that the Padres are one of the many teams to have checked in with the Milwaukee Brewers regarding a trade for ace right-hander Freddy Peralta, who is due to make an affordable $8 million before becoming a free agent after 2026. The strategy of waiting to improve the rotation worked very well a year ago as the Padres brought in right-hander Nick Pivetta on a backloaded four-year, $55 million contract with opt-outs after 2026 and 2027. Pivetta was paid just $2.5 million in 2025 and jumps to $20.5 million this year. Of course, Pivetta emerged with the best season of his nine-year career. Pivetta went 13-7 with a 3.49 FIP, 2.87 ERA, and 149 ERA+ in a career-high 181⅔ innings. Pivetta also remains a hot trade target, which would create an issue for the Padres unless an MLB-ready arm is part of the return. Pivetta is likely to be the Opening Day starter this year, with Michael King, Joe Musgrove, Randy Vasquez, and JP Sears likely filling out the rotation. Musgrove is coming back from Tommy John surgery. View full rumor

The Sung Mun Song era with the San Diego Padres is off to an inauspicious beginning. The South Korean infielder, who signed a four-year, $15 million contract with the Padres last month, sustained an oblique injury and is expected to need about four weeks to recover. Song was injured during a batting practice session as he prepared to make the jump from the Korean Baseball Organization to MLB this year. It is not known when exactly Song was injured. The report revealing the injury said Song traveled to Yokohama, Japan, to be evaluated ahead of heading to Peoria, Arizona, for spring training. While injuries are never good, the timing is. Song is expected to be back in action early in spring training, which opens in just a few weeks. The Friars will surely make sure Song is 100% before having him partake in daily drills. Based on the timeline, there is a possibility he will be ready for the Cactus League opener Feb. 20 vs. the Seattle Mariners. Barring any setbacks or if the injury is more severe than reported, he will be on the Opening Day roster. The injury rules Song out of participating in the World Baseball Classic with South Korea. Rosters for the WBC must be set by Feb. 3, just over two weeks from now. Song is expected to play a key role in the Padres' infield this season. While he doesn't have a starting position at the moment, the natural third baseman is expected to occasionally spell Manny Machado at the hot corner, while also seeing time at second base and first base. Currently, Jake Croenenworth and Gavin Sheets are the respective starters at those positions, so platooning is definitely an option. There is also a good chance he sees time in the outfield. View full article

They are the four best words in baseball: pitchers and catchers report. Why? Because that signals the official start of spring training, bringing Opening Day that much closer. The San Diego Padres open camp in Peoria, Ariz., in just over three weeks, with pitchers and catchers reporting on Feb. 11 and the first full-squad workout Feb. 15. Oftentimes, players report early, depending on if they are coming back from injury or just want to get some extra work in with the coaching staff, but those are the mandatory report dates for the two groups. Those players who are participating in the World Baseball Classic have slightly earlier report dates. Pitchers and catchers, regardless of MLB organization, must report by Feb. 11 (same as the Padres) and position players by Feb. 12. The Padres' first exhibition game is Feb. 20 against the Seattle Mariners, the same team the Friars share the Peoria Sports Complex with. Technically, the Friars are the road team in that game, with their first home game Feb. 22 against the two-time defending World Series champion Los Angeles Dodgers. In the annual Spring Breakout game featuring top prospects from both clubs, the Padres will face the Chicago Cubs on March 21 in Mesa, Ariz. The final exhibition game will take place in Peoria also against the Mariners on March 23. Opening Day for the Friars is March 26 vs. two-time reigning AL Cy Young Award winner Tarik Skubal and the Detroit Tigers. View full rumor

With spring training less than a month away, minor-league free agents are finding homes. Three have now landed with the San Diego Padres. Utility man Nick Solak, left-hander Omar Cruz. and right-hander Justin Yeager have signed minor-league deals with the Padres, according to Baseball America. Those deals likely include invites to spring training. Solak, who turned 31 last week, has had trouble sticking in the majors primarily because of his defense. He mainly plays second base and third base and has 259 games of MLB experience. Solak played in four games with the Pittsburgh Pirates in 2025, after playing in just two games with different teams (Atlanta and the Detroit Tigers) in 2023. He did not get a call-up in 2024 while at Triple-A for the Seattle Mariners. A second-round pick by the New York Yankees in 2016 out of Louisville, Solak was traded to the Tampa Bay Rays early in 2018 in a three-team deal, then shipped by the Rays to the Texas Rangers at the 2019 trade deadline for Pete Fairbanks. Solak made his MLB debut with the Rangers in 2019 and had a slash line of .293/.393/.491 with five homers and 17 RBIs in 33 games. He played the full 2020 season with the Rangers, seeing action in 58 of 60 games with a .268/.326/.344 slash line and two homers and 23 RBIs. In 2021, he played in 127 games and posted a slash line of .242/.314/.362 with 11 homers and 49 RBIs. Solak then only played in 35 MLB games in 2022. That offseason, he bounced between three teams before landing with Atlanta, where he began at Triple-A. He played in one game for Atlanta and was designated for assignment in June and claimed by the Tigers. He played in one MLB game for the Tigers and was DFA'd again in August, went unclaimed and went back to Triple-A. In 2025 with the Pirates' Triple-A affiliate, Solak had a .332/.411/.492 slash line with 14 homers and 73 RBIs. Cruz, about to turn 27, returns to the Padres technically for a third time. Originally an international signee in 2017, the left-hander was part of the package the Friars sent to the Pirates for right-handed starter Joe Musgrove before the 2021 season. The Padres brought him back after the 2023 season as a minor-league Rule 5 selection. He made the Padres' Opening Day roster for 2025 and appeared in two games. He did have a late-May call-up, but didn't pitch before going back to Triple-A El Paso. The left-hander has mainly been a reliever in recent seasons, but struggled to a 4.75 ERA in 33 games, 11 starts, covering 83⅓ innings in 2025. He became a free agent after the season, but is now back again. Yeager, soon to turn 28, has strictly been a reliever since being a 33rd-round draft choice in 2019 by Atlanta out of Southern Illinois. Yeager has spent the last three years in the Milwaukee Brewers' organization after being included in the three-team deal that landed William Contreras in Milwaukee and Sean Murphy in Atlanta. He split time between Double-A and Triple-A, compiling a 2.04 ERA in 49 games covering 57⅓ innings. Yeager's time at Triple-A in 2025 was his first at the level, and he's yet to make his MLB debut. View full article

Were the San Diego Padres the runner-up in the sweepstakes to acquire Nolan Arenado? That is unknown, but the Friars were serious bidders to acquire the 10-time Gold Glove third baseman from the St. Louis Cardinals, according to The Athletic's Ken Rosenthal. Arenado was traded on Tuesday to the Arizona Diamondbacks for a pitching prospect, right-hander Jack Martinez. But where the 34-year-old Arenado would have played would have been the interesting part. With Manny Machado entrenched at third base, the Padres would have wanted Arenado, a six-time Platinum Glove winner, to play first base. Currently, the Friars have a combination of Gavin Sheets and Jake Cronenworth at first base. Another impediment in the Padres' attempt to add Arenado was how much salary the Friars would take on. The Diamondbacks took on $31 million of the $42 million Arenado is owed on the final two years of his contract. Rosenthal reported that the Padres wanted to pay less than the $11 million the D'backs will pay Arenado. Southern California was a destination for Arenado, who was born in Newport Beach and went to high school at El Toro in Lake Forest. View full rumor

Preseason predictions should always be taken with a grain of salt. The methodology used to reach certain decisions or projected outcomes often doesn't match what fans or quasi-experts have in mind for a team in the upcoming season. With that caveat, FanGraphs' popular ZiPS projections for the 2026 season hit on the San Diego Padres on Monday. If you are unfamiliar with the system created by Dan Szymborski, he provided an introduction to this year's rankings. The TL;DR of that is these are baseline projections for players based on where they are in their career and where they are going. With that, let's dive into what ZiPS popped out on the Padres. Padres Position Player Projections The accompanying chart of projections shows that the Padres have four position-player groups projected to have 2.2 fWAR or lower. For a Padres team looking to win at least 90 games for the third straight season, which would be a first in franchise history, that is a bit much. Before we get to those groups, what did ZiPS think about the strength of the offense? It begins with right fielder Fernando Tatis Jr., who checks in at a 4.9 fWAR and a .265/.356/.461 slash line with 26 homers, 80 RBIs, 25 steals, and a 125 OPS+. Pretty similar to what he did in 2025. Next is center fielder Jackson Merrill at 3.6 fWAR. Merrill's projected slash line is .270/.320/.458 with 20 homers and 75 RBIs, a season closer to what he did as a rookie than he did in 2025 when he battled a couple of injuries. There was a curious situation with the shortstop and third base projections. Shortstop, with only Xander Bogaerts listed, has a 3.3 fWAR, but Bogaerts himself has a 2.7 fWAR. Third base, meanwhile, is at 3.2 fWAR, with Manny Machado at 3.2 and Sung Mun Song at 1.7. Song is also in the mix at second base. As far as real numbers, Machado comes in at .258/.321/.430 with 23 homers and 84 RBIs, Bogaerts at .259/.326/.374 with 10 homers and 52 RBIs, and Song at .238/.304/.360 with 12 homers and 57 RBIs. That covers the good positions. The next three spots are basically league average. Left field comes in at 2.2 fWAR with Ramon Laureano, who came over at the trade deadline, checking in at 1.6 fWAR, and Bryce Johnson at 0.9 fWAR, with Johnson also listed as the backup in center. Laureano has a projected .242/.314/.428 slash line. Second base has a 2.0 fWAR with Jake Cronenworth splitting time at the position with Song and Will Wagner. Cronenworth, with a 1.8 fWAR, has a slash line of .233/.335/.373. At catcher, which has a 2.1 fWAR, ZiPS lists Freddy Fermin as the starter with Luis Campusano as the backup, as expected. But when you look at the projected stats, Campusano has 111 more plate appearances than Fermin, likely due to the former also getting time at first base and designated hitter, per the playing time projections. Fermin has a 1.0 fWAR and a .234/.288/.344 slash line, while Campusano has a surprisingly high 1.9 fWAR and a .247/.327/.393 with 13 homers and 54 RBIs. Campusano has only had one positive fWAR season, coming in at 1.0 in 2023, and never hit more than eight homers in a season (2024). Friars fans would be ecstatic to see that type of production from Campusano, however. Now for the three subpar spots. Cronenworth is also the projected starter at first base, a position with a 1.2 fWAR. Gavin Sheets and Campusano are also at first in what figures to be a heavily platooned spot at this point. Sheets checks in with a .237/.303/.401 slash line with 16 homers and 59 RBIs for a 0.6 fWAR. DH, often a strength of teams or at least middle of the pack, is actually the Friars' weakest position with a 1.0 fWAR. This is figuring on a combination of Sheets, Campusano, and Machado, among others. As Szymborski writes, "I’d feel better about the Padres if they had a better starter at either first or designated hitter, but this is a solidly above-average lineup." Padres Pitching Staff Projections This is the spot that will make or break the Friars in 2026. With little depth to rely on, the Padres will need the starting rotation to remain healthy — and that counts on one injured player returning to form. The chart and the projections differ in the fWAR provided. Nick Pivetta is listed at 2.8 in the chart, but his stat projection has him at 2.3. Similarly, Michael King is a 3.3 and 2.2, Joe Musgrove 2.4 and 1.4. Randy Vasquez and JP Sears are basically even in both, with Vasquez at 0.8 and 0.7, and Sears flipped at 0.7 and 0.8. Kyle Hart is the No. 6 option at 0.3 and 0.7. Musgrove is making his way back from Tommy John surgery, so he is a definite wild card in the entire mix. Considering he had his surgery in October 2024, so should be on schedule to be a full participant in spring training and ready for Opening Day, barring any setbacks. There are no surprises here. The Padres are still hoping to add to the rotation, whether through free agency or a trade, and perhaps more than one arm. While almost everyone really likes the Friars' bullpen, ZiPS was a little more cautious than other projections. That has nothing to do with closer Mason Miller, who checks in with a 1.7 fWAR, or the setup crew of Adrian Morejon (0.9), Jeremiah Estrada (0.9), or Jason Adam (0.6). Instead, it reflects on the status of Wandy Peralta, who is entering his age-34 season, and the surprise showing of David Morgan, who was a struggling minor-leaguer before capitalizing on his first MLB call-up in 2025. Both are projected for 0.3 fWAR in 2026. Other Takeaways ZiPS doesn't hate the Friars. "The Padres look a lot like the 2025 team, with a win projection in the high 80s and 90 being well within the probable range. But it’s a fragile 90 wins," Szymborski writes. One potential position player to keep an eye on is backup outfielder Tirso Ornelas. ZiPS has Ornelas, who made his MLB debut in 2025, with a 0.9 fWAR and a .239/.309/.358 slash line with 10 homers and 49 RBIs. Where he is getting those 476 plate appearances, though, is whole 'nother question. That probably brings this full circle. If ZiPS is projecting nearly 500 plate appearances for a possible fifth outfielder, while not listing him in the graphic as an outfield option and the No. 4 DH option, you should probably take most of this with a grain of salt. There is no doubt some good stuff in the ZiPS projections for you to digest, just don't take it as a single source for predicting the future. Plus, who knows when A.J. Preller will add a bat to the first base-DH mix or another arm to the rotation? View full article