TomCent

In isolation, the record-shattering sale of the San Diego Padres is a head-scratcher. Why would Jose E. Feliciano's group pay $3.9 billion for the franchise? That price is more than 60 percent higher than the $2.42 billion Steve Cohen paid for the New York Mets in 2020, and it's 25 percent more than the $3,1 billion Forbes magazine estimated the club to be worth last month. But if you look at Forbes' estimates of the top-tier clubs -- and the Padres are in that upper echelon -- you'll notice that it's not an outrageous overpay and Feliciano sees value. For example, Cohen's investment has appreciated nicely over the past six years. The Mets are now worth $3.5 billion in Forbes' estimation. That's sixth-highest in MLB. There's no sign Cohen wants to flip the club, but business is business -- and the baseball business is booming. Robust league revenues fueled by surging fan and sponsor interest is a tide lifting all yachts. The teams ahead of the Mets are all well ahead: the New York Yankees ($8.5 billion), Los Angeles Dodgers ($7.8 billion), Boston Red Sox ($5.75 billion), Chicago Cubs ($5 billion) and San Francisco Giants ($4.05 billion). Seventh through ninth are the Philadelphia Phillies ($3.4 billion), Atlanta Braves ($3.35 billion) and Houston Astros ($3.2 billion). The mid-market Padres, with their gem of a stadium, ideal weather, and huge payroll, are 10th. To put the franchise inflation into greater focus: The Baltimore Orioles were sold for $1.73 billion in August 2024 to a group led by billionaire David Rubenstein. A year and a half later, Forbes pegged the franchise as being worth $2.1.billion. There's a good chance, then, that the Penner Sports Group had a lot more than civic pride in mind when it bought 40 percent of the Colorado Rockies from the Monfort brothers this month. Forbes estimated the Rox at $1.68 billion, 25th in the league. If the cash infusion gets the club out of the mud -- and if the 30 team owners can avoid a damaging labor dispute next year -- then everyone would stand to benefit. Contrast that transaction with the Penner group buying the NFL's Denver Broncos for $4.65 billion, then a record for a North American pro sports franchise in 2022. (The Washington Commanders sped past the Broncos a year later when a group led by Josh Harris bought them for $6.05 billion. Then, the NBA's Los Angeles Lakers changed hands for a $10 billion valuation in 2025.).Last November, Forbes estimated the Broncos' franchise value at $6.8 billion, 13th-highest in the NFL. If one of the NFL's marquee franchises were to go on the market, the bar would be reset much higher. The Dallas Cowboys topped Forbes' rankings last year at $13 billion, followed by the Los Angeles Rams ($10.5 billion) and New York Giants ($10.1 billion). Just a reminder that MLB represents a desirable neighborhood but isn't the exclusive community the NFL is. Buying into an MLB franchise now practically guarantees a strong positive return on investment within a few years' time. The Padres are getting a wealthy owner who shelled out a gobsmacking total for them, but don't expect their record sale price to stand for long. View full article

After the first week of the San Diego Padres' 2026 season, we can say that two things are true: The club's scuffles at the plate this spring were real, and they were clear signs that the offense is lacking. San Diego put up 19 runs in a six-game homestand (3.17 per game). Seven of the runs were scored in the finale, a 7-1 victory gift-wrapped by the San Francisco Giants on Wednesday. The overall team slash line was .202/.280/.301. By themselves, six-game sample sizes are insignificant. Cold streaks and hot streaks cancel each other out. But this sample did not happen in isolation. It was a reminder that these Padres have had trouble scoring runs. Stats and circumstances can support or refute that statement, but the pessimistic indicators from the first week are more persuasive. Here are the six strongest, one per game: 1. This year's lineup is almost the same as last year's The club finished 18th in MLB in runs last year, and all the regulars from the end of the season, save for Luis Arraez, are back this year. Losing Arraez was not devastating -- he produced a 104 wRC+ and hit eight home runs in 2025 -- but there was no clear upgrade made in the offseason. It might be utility man Sung Mun Song, once he's healed from his oblique injury. He slugged .530 and hit a career-high 26 home runs last year in the KBO. It would be tough to bet on him repeating that as an MLB rookie, though. 2. Will the power come on? San Diego hit three home runs on the homestand. Ramon Laureano slugged two and Jackson Merrill hit the other one. The long ball was lacking last year, too -- the Padres finished 28th in homers and Manny Machado led the club with just 27. Maybe Merrill gets close to that figure with a full season of health. Maybe Laureano keeps it going. Maybe Song makes a difference. Then again, that's too many maybes this early in the year. 3. The quality of the opponent did not matter much The hitters faced Tarik Skubal, Framber Valdez, Jack Flaherty, Landen Roupp, Logan Webb and Adrian Houser in the first six games. Skubal (naturally) and Roupp (surprisingly) had the best outings -- no earned runs over six innings each -- but overall, opposing starters allowed 12 runs (seven earned) over 33 2/3 innings, and none of them gave up more than three. The Padres failed to jump on a starter early and seize control of a game. 4. The lineup leans too far to the right The team's handedness imbalance showed up in a key split: the Padres produced an 85 wRC+ against right-handers in their first six games, 23rd in the majors. Merrill, Jake Cronenworth and Gavin Sheets are the club's primary left-handed bats. Song will be a fourth once he's activated. Besides them, the only lefty swinger is switch-hitting backup outfielder Bryce Johnson. There isn't room for another one right now with the club committed to Luis Campusano, Miguel Andujar and Nick Castellanos as backups. 5. The contact was inconsistent This is a mixed indicator, but mostly a negative one. Statcast had the Padres seventh in hard-hit rate after six games at 43.0 percent, but also 13th in average exit velocity at 89.2 mph and 29th in barrel rate at 4.2 percent. The whiff rate was 17th at 27.9 percent. Lots of numbers there, but they point to one thing: the Padres didn't do enough to put pressure on defenses with batted balls. 6. There has already been a shakeup First-year manager Craig Stammen altered the batting order Wednesday to get guys going. The order looked closer to what it was against left-handers Skubal and Valdez. Tatis was in the leadoff spot against a right-hander for the first time, and Cronenworth was dropped from first to sixth. Stammen also flipped Machado and Merrill in the third and fourth spots. There's no conclusive data that changing the order will change the hitters, but a productive new alignment can be good for the team vibes. View full article

The San Diego Padres are counting on Xander Bogaerts to hold down the shortstop position in 2026, but recent history says he won't be out there every day. Injuries have sidelined him for long stretches in each of the past two years, and he'll be playing his age-33 season this year. Those are troubling signs for a player who's entering Year 4 of an 11-year, $280 million contract. Utility man Mason McCoy and second baseman Jake Cronenworth are next on the depth chart, but each player has his drawbacks. McCoy is a glove-first infielder with a .494 OPS in 84 career plate appearances, while Cronenworth was regularly replaced for defense late in games when he filled in for Bogaerts last year. Sung-mun Song will also factor into the equation eventually, but he'll open the season on the injured list while tending to a lingering oblique strain. Here's how the position looks heading into Opening Day: Padres Shortstops At A Glance Starter: Xander Bogaerts Backup: Jake Cronenworth, Sung Mun Song Depth: Mason McCoy Prospects: Francisco Acuna, Ryan Jackson Padres' fWAR Ranking Last Year: 16th out of 30 Padres' fWAR Projection This Year: 16th out of 30 The Good Bogaerts remains a plus defender according to the metrics. Statcast put him in the 93rd percentile in outs above average (OAA) and the 87th percentile in fielding run value last year. Both marks were, by far, career highs. Statcast's plus-7 run value was also a career best. His offense was not very exciting, but he remained a solid contact hitter, with a 17.0 percent K rate (76th percentile). His 89.0 mph average exit velocity and 11.1-degree launch angle were both his highest since 2021, and his 39.2 percent hard-hit rate was his highest since 2022. Those peripherals contributed to a .267 xBA, his highest since '21. He handled certain off-speed and breaking pitches well, posting a plus-8 run value against sliders and a plus-6 run value against changeups. Interestingly, Bogaerts has put speed back to his game in his 30s. Last year, he set a career high with 20 stolen bases and was caught just twice. He has posted double-digit steals in each of his first three seasons with the Padres. The Bad Bogaerts' offensive prime with the Boston Red Sox is a distant memory. Last year, he put up a pedestrian 104 wRC+ and .720 OPS in 552 plate appearances. He was the least effective against fastballs, even though his whiff rates against them were better than his career norms. He registered a minus-9 run value against four-seamers and a minus-10 run value against sinkers. Not so coincidentally, his bat speed was in the 50th percentile. There was also a further decline in durability. Last year, he missed almost a month in August and September with a foot fracture. In 2024, he was out from mid-May to late July with a left shoulder fracture he suffered while diving for a ball. He has appeared in 136 and 111 games, respectively, the past two seasons. There isn't much at the position in the upper levels of the farm system. Francisco Acuna, 26, posted a 1.119 OPS with two homers in 12 games at Triple-A El Paso last season, but just a .706 OPS in 109 games at Double-A San Antonio. Ryan Jackson, 24, played at three levels last year in his first full pro season, getting as high as Double-A. He produced a .494 OPS in 19 games for San Antonio. The Padres took him in the 17th round of the 2024 MLB Draft. The return of Song will be key to the entire infield picture, but he'll also have to displace someone (likely Ty France) on the active roster when he returns, limiting depth elsewhere on the roster. The Bottom Line Bogaerts will be the starter if healthy -- a big if after the injuries. If Song remains out or limited by his oblique, San Diego could stand to add a backup who would be an upgrade over McCoy. View full article

There's no mystery surrounding second base in San Diego -- Jake Cronenworth is the Padres' everyday option there. He returned to full-time duty at the position in 2025 after getting a lot of work at first base in 2023 and 2024. He shouldn't be needed at the cold corner in 2026 because Gavin Sheets, Miguel Andujar, Nick Castellanos and others are all available. Cronenworth's name was attached to trade speculation in the offseason, but it would be difficult for the Padres to deal him. He's in the third year of a seven-year, $80 million contract extension and is entering his age-32 season. His 2.9 fWAR in 2025 represented a marked improvement from his previous two seasons, but it still was just starter-class production. Offseason signee Sung Mun Song will be the backup to begin the season, assuming he's healthy. He is primarily a third baseman, but he did play a fair amount of second in the KBO -- 194 games (149 starts) over nine seasons. Holdovers Mason McCoy and Will Wagner entered the final stages of spring training as the Triple-A reinforcements. Padres Second Basemen At A Glance Starter: Jake Cronenworth Backup: Sung Mun Song Depth: Mason McCoy, Will Wagner Prospect: Marcos Castanon Padres' fWAR Ranking Last Year: 13th out of 30 Padres' fWAR Projection This Year: 19th out of 30 The Good Cronenworth will contribute at the plate against all pitching. The lefty swinger's platoon splits last year were nearly identical: a 118 wRC+ and .334 wOBA against right-handers vs. a 116 wRC+ and .331 wOBA against left-handers. His strikeout rate against lefties was two points lower than his K rate vs. righties (19.4 percent to 21.4 percent). His plate discipline led to a career-high 13.4 percent walk rate. Song, 29, is coming off two huge offensive seasons in the KBO and has displayed some power in his first MLB spring training. Second base will be one of his positions as he fills a utility role. McCoy, 30, is a glove-first player who can bounce between second and shortstop. Wagner, who was acquired from the Toronto Blue Jays at last year's trade deadline, has youth on his side at 27. Castanon, 26, has shown pop in his minor-league career. He slugged three home runs in 16 games for Triple-A El Paso last year following a late-season promotion from Double-A San Antonio. He was a 12th-round selection by the Padres in the 2021 MLB Draft out of Cal Santa Barbara. The Bad Cronenworth's reputation for durability has taken a hit after his injuries in 2023 and 2025. Last year, he missed a month with a rib fracture. When he came back, the pop in his bat was lacking. His 32 extra-base hits, .377 slugging percentage and .130 ISO were all full-season career lows. His fielding was not inspiring, either. He was a below-average second baseman according to the advanced metrics: minus-8 defensive runs saved (DRS), by far a career-worst figure, and minus-1 outs above average (OAA). His fielding run value (FRV) clocked in at minus-2. Song's offensive potential is a big unknown. His KBO numbers in '24 and '25 were outliers, and now he'll be a part-time player trying to adjust to much tougher pitching. Likewise, he's got injury concerns of his own, as he's currently fighting a nagging oblique injury that could hold him off the Opening Day roster. McCoy has a career .494 OPS in 84 big-league plate appearances. Wagner spent most of his time at Triple-A after coming over from Toronto. He got just 17 PAs with the Padres. Castanon isn't on Padres Mission's list of the top 20 prospects in the organization, despite his power potential. In other words: Without Song, the depth in the middle infield is lacking. The Bottom Line The Padres need Cronenworth to stay healthy and make the majority of the starts at second. Song is unproven and the players behind him do not look like viable everyday options. View full article

Padres Mission's ranking of the club's top prospects for 2026 has reached the final stage, and just the top two prospects are left to highlight. Be sure to check out our previous rankings here: No. 3: Kruz Schoolcraft No. 4: Bradgley Rodriguez No. 5: Miguel Mendez No. 6: Jagger Haynes No. 7: Humberto Cruz No. 8: Ty Harvey No. 9: Ryan Wideman No. 10: Kale Fountain Nos. 11-15 Nos. 16-20 No. 2 Kash Mayfield (Lake Elsinore Storm) The San Diego Padres organization has been extra cautious with Kash Mayfield ever since taking the left-hander 25th overall in the 2024 MLB Draft. They delayed his pro debut until last April, and then the team capped his workload for Low-A Lake Elsinore tightly. Mayfield never worked more than five innings or threw more than 80 pitches in a game. His innings limit shrunk further in midseason after he missed three weeks in May and June with inflammation in his pitching shoulder. When he did take the mound, he showed a lot of promise. Over 19 games (all starts) and 60 2/3 innings, Mayfield produced a 2.97 ERA/3.06 FIP, a 34.1 percent strikeout rate, a 3.14 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a 43.6 percent ground-ball rate. He was excellent at keeping the ball in the yard, allowing just two home runs in a hitter-friendly environment. His 10.9 percent walk rate was a blemish, if only slightly given his youth and lack of consistent reps. He succeeded despite working with a diminished arsenal. The San Diego Union-Tribune (subscription required) reported last September that Mayfield's fastball velocity was down about 3 mph from his days at Elk City (Okla.) High School; he topped out at 94 mph in the Cal League, compared to 97 mph in the prep ranks. The 21-year-old's offseason plans included adding weight and strength. That could bump the velocity back up. Other aspects of pitching helped him compensate. The heater had lively arm-side run, and Mayfield created deception with both the extension from his 6-4 frame and a relatively low release point. A mid-80s changeup and upper-70s slider gave him excellent separation. In fact, the changeup is thought to be Mayfield's best pitch. It has big-time sink and fade, making it a weapon against right-handed batters, and his arm speed creates great deception. His mechanics are considered advanced; his motion looks smooth and repeatable. Mayfield was one of 21 pitchers in the preliminary player pool for the Padres' Spring Breakout game on March 21 against the Chicago Cubs' top prospects. A strong outing against high-level competition would give him a nice boost ahead of his second minor-league season, which should begin at High-A Fort Wayne. View full article

Padres Mission's ranking of the club's top prospects for 2026 has reached the final stage with a countdown of the top five. Be sure to check out our previous rankings here: No. 4: Bradgley Rodriguez No. 5: Miguel Mendez No. 6: Jagger Haynes No. 7: Humberto Cruz No. 8: Ty Harvey No. 9: Ryan Wideman No. 10: Kale Fountain Nos. 11-15 Nos. 16-20 No. 3 Kruz Schoolcraft (Lake Elsinore Storm) Kruz Schoolcraft's professional career has barely begun -- he made one minor-league appearance made at the end of the 2025 season. He'll turn 19 in April and his development will take time. The good news? There's evidence to suggest that it won't be a lot of time. The Padres selected the 6-8, 229-pound Schoolcraft in the first round (25th overall) of last year's MLB Draft out of Sunset High School in Beaverton, Ore. He was the No. 1-ranked prep left-hander in the draft. He also was a legitimate first-base prospect with big-time power. San Diego lured him away from the University of Tennessee -- he committed to the Vols in December 2024 -- with a $3.6 million signing bonus. Then, they convinced the potential two-way star to become a full-time pitcher. The organization waited until Sept. 6 to get him into a game. His appearance with Lake Elsinore in the Low-A California League was brief and eventful: 1 2/3 innings, one hit, two runs (both earned), three walks, four strikeouts, four stolen bases allowed. Schoolcraft showed that he has a lot of work to do. But he still could rise quickly, for several reasons. First, he already throws three pitches -- a mid- to high-90s fastball with good extension, a changeup with deception, and a slider with depth. Prior to the draft, MLB.com gave both the fastball and slider a 60 on the 20-to-80 scouting scale and the change a 55, but the slider is considered his third pitch at the moment. Second, he is considered to have advanced mechanics, which will help make his delivery repeatable sooner. It also will help him improve his 50-grade control. Of course, his longer levers make it easy for baserunners to pick up on his cadence, so he'll have to fine-tune that in order to prevent everyone faster than Giancarlo Stanton from swiping a base against him. But his mechanics as a whole are quite impressive for a teenager. Third, the organization considers him a smart player and a hard worker. Schoolcraft showed those traits when he spoke with reporters, including MLB.com's Sam Dykstra, at spring training. He said that he wants to reshape his slider better and make it a pitch he can throw effectively both early and late in the count. He talked about getting stronger, and he shared a specific goal for 2026: he hopes to make 22+ starts. Schoolcraft has already made an impression in camp with his sharp outing in an intra-squad game. He might make another before spring training is through. The Padres listed him in the initial 40-man player pool for their Spring Breakout game on Saturday, March 21, against the Cubs' top prospects in Arizona. There's bound to be buzz about the kid moving rapidly through the system if he gets into that game and overpowers hitters. But those people will need to be patient; Schoolcraft is just getting started. View full article

Padres Mission's ranking of the organization's top prospects for 2026 has reached the final stage with a countdown of the top five. Be sure to check out our previous rankings here: No. 5: Miguel Mendez No. 6: Jagger Haynes No. 7: Humberto Cruz No. 8: Ty Harvey No. 9: Ryan Wideman No. 10: Kale Fountain Nos. 11-15 Nos. 16-20 No. 4 Bradgley Rodriguez (San Diego Padres, El Paso Chihuahuas, San Antonio Missions) After a successful big-league callup last September and a strong spring training this year, Rodriguez appears ready to handle a full-time role in the Padres' loaded bullpen. That's a big accomplishment for a 22-year-old who has spent half his pro career injured. Bradgley Rodriguez joined the Padres organization in January 2021 out of Venezuela, signing for $370,000. Later that year, the right-hander showed off his live arm in the Dominican Summer League. But then came the struggles. An elbow injury led to Tommy John surgery in 2022, and the subsequent rehab cost him the 2022 and 2023 seasons. When he finally got back on the mound in 2024, he made up for the lost time. He pitched at three levels that year, capped by a promotion to Double-A San Antonio in August. He went back to San Antonio to begin the 2025 season, and then he caught the Padres' eye. In late May, he was promoted to the majors straight from Double-A. He debuted on May 31 vs. the Pittsburgh Pirates, working 1 2/3 scoreless innings, but was optioned to Triple-A El Paso three days later. Then, the injury bug bit him again. He missed about two weeks in mid-June with biceps tightness and spent seven weeks on the IL from early July to late August. Once healthy, he earned another callup to San Diego, where the Padres were dealing with their own pitching injuries. His electric stuff and moxie earned him a spot on the club's roster for the Wild Card Series against the Cubs. Rodriguez did not appear in the series, but just being on a postseason roster was a clear sign that the club thought it might have something with him. Rodriguez faced just 31 batters over 7 2/3 innings in the majors in 2025, but we can still glean much from how he attacked them. He threw a four-seamer, sinker, changeup, and cutter. All three of his fastballs played up in the charged atmosphere of the Show --- the sinker and four-seamer velocity increased by a full mile per hour to 98.3 and 98.8, respectively, while the cutter velo increased by 0.9 mph to 89.2. The sinker and change showed sizable horizontal movement, with 15.3 and 16.0 inches of arm-side run, respectively. Some of that movement can be attributed to a drop in arm angle from 56 percent to 46.8 percent. According to Mad Friars, the organization made the switch to three-quarters after the biceps scare to ease the strain on his arm. Rodriguez's pitch mix underwent a transformation last year as well. It changed from sinker-heavy in Triple-A to four-seam-heavy in the majors. The four-seamer use was just 10.6 percent at El Paso, but 40.2 percent with the Padres. The sinker use fell from 45.8 percent to 26.0 percent in the bigs. Changeup use was pared from 31.3 percent to 23.6 percent. The changeup played very well off the four-seamer, generating a 46.7 whiff rate as Rodriguez's putaway pitch. In fact, both pitches were unhittable, a .000 batting average for both. The sinker helped to produce a 56.3 percent ground-ball rate, to pair with a 29.0 strikeout rate. Platoon advantage played a large role in pitch selection. Thirty-one of his 33 sinkers and all 13 of his cutters were thrown to right-handed batters, while 23 of his 30 changeups were thrown to left-handed batters. The four-seamer use was more balanced --- 32 to left-handers, 19 to right-handers. (All stats per Baseball Savant and FanGraphs.) Rodriguez put himself in position to win a job out of spring training with six consecutive scoreless outings to begin exhibition play. He allowed two hits, struck out seven, and, more importantly, walked one over six innings. His chances will improve greatly if Jason Adam (quad) needs to open the season on the injured list and the bullpen has a second opening. If Adam proves ready to go, then it will be Rodriguez, Ty Adcock, Logan Gillaspie, Alek Jacob, and Ron Marinaccio vying for one spot. Gillaspie has earned praise from manager Craig Stammen for his willingness to fill any role, while Marinaccio is out of minor-league options. Rodriguez, on the other hand, can be optioned. If he does have to go back to El Paso, he'll be an early call-up option when the staff begins to go through the inevitable churn. View full article

Identifying the top prospects in a thin farm system such as the San Diego Padres' is as difficult as choosing from the prospects in a deep system. In each case, lots of hair-splitting happens as players are assigned spots. San Diego team president and general manager A.J. Preller cleared out the pipeline last summer in his deadline trades for Mason Miller, Ramon Laureano, Ryan O'Hearn and Freddy Fermin. Top prospect Leo De Vries led the group of players who were shipped out. It's time to list the best of what's left. Here's a look at the first set of prospects in Padres Mission's 2026 preseason Top 20 ranking -- the players ranked 16th through 20th. These rankings were voted on by the writers. 20. Francis Pena, RHP (El Paso Chihuahuas) Pena, 25, was ranked 17th on this list at the end of 2025, but his Triple-A numbers pushed him to the bottom of this list. ERA FIP xFIP IP G GS SV BS K% BB% K-BB% HR/9 SwStr% Whiff% WHIP BABIP LOB% LD% GB% FB% IFFB% HR/FB 4.99 5.23 5.50 52.1 43 0 0 4 19.8 14.3 5.5 0.69 10.3 28.1 1.61 .307 65.9 20.5 55.6 23.8 38.9 11.1 The Dominican-born reliever appeared to be on a fast track after his 2024 season that saw him speed through three levels. But he stalled at El Paso and spent the entire 2025 season there. The regression showed up in his walk rate (26th percentile of Triple-A pitchers) and strikeout rate (33rd percentile). But there was some deep red, too, namely in exit velocity allowed (83rd percentile) and hard-hit rate (76th percentile). He kept the ball in the yard, allowing just four home runs. That helped the FIP, but it was still ugly at 5.23. Pena relies on a hard sinker and slider that are delivered from a 44.5-degree arm angle. The sinker averaged 95.4 mph, 11 inches of arm-side run, and five inches of vertical break last year. The slider clocked in at 87.3 mph and had little depth. Those two pitches made up 86.6 percent of his arsenal. He mixed in a four-seamer (94.7 mph) and cutter (89.3 mph) the rest of the time. (Stats per Prospect Savant.) He showed enough to earn a non-roster invite to spring training for a second consecutive year, but a return to El Paso in 2026 seemed inevitable because of the Padres' bullpen depth. 19. Eric Yost, RHP (Fort Wayne TinCaps, San Antonio Missions) Yost, 23, cracks the top 20 three years after being drafted by the Padres in the 17th round out of Northeastern University. He earned the spot with a breakout at High-A that earned him a late-season promotion to Double-A. ERA FIP xFIP IP G GS SV BS K% BB% K-BB% HR/9 SwStr% Whiff% WHIP BABIP LOB% LD% GB% FB% IFFB% HR/FB 3.75 3.92 4.09 124.2 25 25 0 0 20.8 11.0 9.8 0.43 8.5 -- 1.40 .305 68.3 23.7 50.0 26.3 24.7 6.5 He made eight starts for San Antonio, and his stats there showed that the move challenged him. Contact and pull rates were higher than what he allowed in the Midwest League, and the swing rate decreased. He struggled badly with command as he faced better hitters, posting 26 strikeouts to 27 walks in 37 1/3 innings. That underwater ratio contributed to a 5.00 FIP (5.79 xFIP). Inconsistency was another problem; his first two Double-A starts were excellent, but five of his last six were poor. Overall, two splits stood out: Left-handed batters' OPS against him was 95 points higher than what right-handed batters produced, and opponents' OPS with runners on base was 110 points higher than their OPS with the bases empty (all splits via Baseball Reference). One thing in his favor: left-handed hitters' OPS was inflated by a .353 BABIP, a sign bad luck was involved. Yost's fastball sits in the low-to-mid-90s, but his combination of curve and slider/sweeper are graded highly by Prospect Savant. If he can't get his velocity higher, his pitchability will need to be elite. 18. Deivid Coronil, 3B/SS (Padres Gold) Coronil, 18, is one of eight players in our top 20 who made their professional debuts in 2025. The Venezuela native was a highly sought-after January international free agent. San Diego landed him with a $900,000 signing bonus. MLB.com ranked him 35th in its international prospects top 50. A few months after signing, he saw regular action with Padres Gold in the Dominican Summer League. PA H 2B 3B HR OPS wRC+ wOBA K% BB% SwStr% Whiff% PULL% CENT% OPPO% LD% GB% FB% SB CS SB% 174 26 2 1 0 .542 56 .306 27.0 12.1 20.5 -- 57.6 27.2 15.2 18.4 43.7 37.9 8 0 100.0 A big part of his appeal is his reputation as an elite fielder. MLB.com has already assigned him a 65 field grade on the 20-to-80 scouting scale. His four errors in 14 games at shortstop and eight errors in 27 games at third base last year look like the work of a young player at the start of his pro career. His arm, run and hit grades are listed at 50 each, and his power grade is 35. The slug could emerge once he grows into his body; he's listed as 6-3 and 162 pounds. And his running grade might be a bit low after his 8-for-8 on steal attempts. The Padres are famous for rushing young prospects through their system, but they might need to be patient with Coronil after a middling debut. 17. Truitt Madonna, C (Lake Elsinore Storm) Madonna is another of the 2025 debutants in the top 20. He was chosen by the Padres in the 11th round of the July draft out of Ballard High School in Seattle. The club gave him a $654,000 signing bonus, more than four times above slot, to break his commitment to UCLA. A strong showing in the spring-summer MLB Draft League boosted his stock. PA H 2B 3B HR OPS wRC+ wOBA K% BB% SwStr% Whiff% PULL% CENT% OPPO% LD% GB% FB% SB CS SB% 60 10 3 1 0 .544 55 .270 38.3 10.0 18.6 -- 23.3 23.3 53.3 16.1 61.3 22.6 0 0 0.0 Madonna made his pro debut two weeks before the end of the California League season with Lake Elsinore. He started seven games at catcher and two games at first base. Contact was a big issue, noted by his 38.3 strikeout rate and a 61.3 percent ground-ball rate in 60 plate appearances. There were hiccups on defense, as well. Madonna went 1-for-14 in throwing out base stealers, a seven-percent success rate. He was also charged with two passed balls. Power is Madonna's signature tool. Prospect Savant pegs it at 50 on the 20-to-80 scouting scale. The hit tool is 40, as is the run tool. His arm tool is 50 and his field tool is 40. Madonna already has size -- he's listed at 6-3 and 215 pounds -- and he'll turn 19 on March 12. There's a lot of room for growth in both his body and his game. 16. Kavares Tears, OF/1B (Lake Elsinore Storm) Tears was 11th in our post-deadline Top 20 last summer, but a rocky debut season at Low-A dinged him this year. More was expected from a toolsy player who came from a collegiate powerhouse in the University of Tennessee. PA H 2B 3B HR OPS wRC+ wOBA K% BB% SwStr% Whiff% PULL% CENT% OPPO% LD% GB% FB% SB CS SB% 475 93 22 2 13 .705 96 .339 29.1% 12.2% 16.6% -- 41.7% 23.7% 34.5% 24.6% 46.0% 29.4% 6 5 54.5% San Diego took him in the fourth round of the 2024 MLB Draft as the compensation for Josh Hader, but the organization waited until 2025 to start his career. His debut was pushed back further, to April 15, because of a hamstring injury. He then was limited to DH duty until late July. For the year, he started 29 games in the outfield and three games at first base. Four of his five scouting grades from Prospect Savant speak to his athleticism -- 60 throw, 55 run, 55 field, and 55 power. The fifth grade is a 40 hit tool. The left-handed hitting Tears slashed .227/.320/.385 (.159 ISO, 96 wRC+) in the hitter-friendly California League. He hit .188 in 72 games from June 1 through the end of the season. At least his 12.2 percent walk rate was encouraging, On top of that, he posted extreme home-road splits -- .782 OPS, 22 extra-base hits home; .625 OPS, 15 extra-base hits road -- and large reverse splits: .805 OPS vs. left-handers against a .676 OPS vs. right-handers. There's a lot to monitor as Tears enters Year 2 of his development. What stands out from Nos. 16-20 on our list? Let us know your thoughts in the comments! View full article

Thinner than a rail all offseason, the San Diego Padres' rotation now has a glut of options. The most recent addition is former Colorado Rockies ace German Marquez, who reportedly agreed to a one-year contract with a mutual option for 2027. He brings the number of pitchers in camp competing for the last two spots to at least eight. San Diego isn't getting anything near the All-Star version of Márquez. The 30-year-old was hit hard last year after missing close to two full seasons because of elbow problems. In 126 1/3 innings over 26 starts, he posted full-season career worsts across the board: a 6.70 ERA/5.47 FIP, 5.9 strikeouts per nine innings, a .545 slugging percentage against and a .923 OPS against. He allowed 168 hits and 23 home runs. Our series on rotation candidates continues with Marquez. Should he be in the Friars' rotation, work out of the bullpen, or go down to Triple-A El Paso to begin 2026? Germán Márquez's Stuff In terms of results, Márquez's best pitch last year was his knuckle curve. It was well below-average in both movement and drop, but it had above-average spin (64th percentile). It served as Marquez's out pitch: opponents batted .208 with a 33.9 percent K rate against it. Despite that, it produced a negative-6 run value. Marquez's fastball velocity was league-average -- 94.8 mph on his four-seamer, 94.2 mph on his sinker -- but both pitches were about one mile per hour slower than his fastballs in 2022 and continued to have below-average spin (24th percentile). The four-seamer did have above-average horizontal movement, with 10.9 inches of arm-side run (in to right-handed batters, away from left-handed batters). And yet, hitters feasted on it, slugging .642. The pitch had a negative-24 run value. Opponents punished the rest of the repertoire, too. Marquez's sinker, slider, and changeup produced respective SLG's of .545, .565, and .556. Each of those pitches flashed below-average movement. There were plenty more ugly peripherals to go around. Marquez's ground-ball rate plummeted to a career-low 36.6 percent and his air rate soared to a career-high 63.3 percent. His 91.7 mph average exit velocity was more than two miles per hour higher than his career norms. His 11.1 barrel rate was the second-worst of his career. He allowed a 1.057 OPS after falling behind 1-0 in the count. There is a Coors Effect in Marquez's career splits, but it shows up in hits allowed rather than home runs allowed. He has averaged 9.99 hits per nine at Coors, compared to 8.53 per nine outside Denver. That speaks to the fact that lots of hits fall in at Coors Field because of the park's spacious outfield. His home run rates are 3.44 percent at home and 3.29 percent on the road. For what it's worth, Petco Park has been a good place for him. His career numbers there are skewed by two poor outings last year -- 12 earned runs in seven innings. Prior to that, he had a 3.64 ERA and 68 strikeouts in 10 games (nine starts). German Marquez's Arsenal Márquez was essentially a three-pitch pitcher last season. He threw the four-seamer 35 percent of the time, a knuckle curve 32 percent of the time, and a sinker 20 percent of the time. He also made use of slider (11 percent) and changeup (2 percent), though they were seldom featured. Of note: He threw his slider 21 percent of the time in 2022, his last full season prior to 2025. His knuckle-curve made up that 10-point difference last year. As usual, there was a narrow gap between the fastballs and his secondary pitches: 9.3 mph between his fastest (four-seamer) and slowest (knuckle curve, 85.5 mph). That was in line with his career averages. His slider (88.8) and changeup (88.5) were thrown at almost the same speed. The use of his fourth and fifth pitches was based almost strictly on batter handedness. He threw 196 of his 226 sliders to right-handed batters and 49 of his 50 changeups to left-handed batters. What Should German Marquez's Role Be in 2026? Márquez's 2025 season says that he shouldn't be guaranteed anything, but his history and contract say that he will begin the year in the rotation. How long he stays in it will depend on performance. The Rockies kept running him out there last year to eat innings. The Padres will have a fraction of that patience in 2026. If Márquez is eventually moved to a long-man role, it would be his first relief work since 2016, when he was a rookie. Again, because he's signing a major-league deal, it's almost certain that the Padres would keep him around as the 13th man on the staff. El Paso feels very far away, despite the recent results. View full article

With the first week of spring training coming to an end, the Padres have brought in reinforcements to the rotation and lineup. The club on Saturday reportedly agreed to contracts with right-hander Griffin Canning and outfielder/DH Nick Castellanos. Canning was on the free-agent market all offseason, while Castellanos became a free agent Thursday when the Phillies released him. Both men figure to play significant roles for San Diego in 2026. Here's where they might fit. What will be Griffin Canning's role with the Padres? Canning is almost certain to take a spot in the rotation. The 29-year-old turned in a standout half-season with the New York Mets in 2025, pitching to a 3.77 ERA/4.04 FIP over 76 1/3 innings. But his New York tenure ended abruptly when he tore his left Achilles tendon during a start June 26 in Atlanta. He threw for teams at UCLA last week and reportedly topped out at 93 mph with his fastball. As good as that it, the status of Canning's slider is just as important. The pitch transformed him last season, The Mets got him to throw it more as they radically changed his pitch mix from his Angels days. Canning will step into a rotation that's led by Nick Pivetta, Joe Musgrove and Michael King. Randy Vasquez, J.P. Sears, Kyle Hart and Matt Waldron are among the pitchers in the mix for the other rotation spot. What will be Nick Castellanos' role with the Padres? Castellanos could be an intriguing player in San Diego. The club wanted another bat, and the 33-year-old slugger fits the description. There are red flags, though. Castellanos showed steep decline with Philadelphia last season. His wRC+ plunged to 87, his on-base percentage fell to a career-low. 294, and his ISO fell to .150. But there might have been a mitigating factor with those numbers. He suffered a knee injury July 25 at Yankee Stadium and then dealt with tendinitis in the knee the rest of the season. If he's healthy, then maybe the swing improves and the production follows. There was also his messy breakup with the Phils, which started in June when he confronted manager Rob Thomson in the dugout during a game in Miami, His quick signing indicates that there wasn't much fear about him being a bad teammate. The right-handed Castellanos figures to split at-bats with Gavin Sheets and another recent addition, Miguel Andujar at DH, first base and off the bench. His defense in the outfield is considered poor, but the Padres don't need him to do much on the grass. He last played on the infield 2017, and that was at third base. He has never played first base. This is a low-risk move for the Padres. They'll only have to pay him the minimum MLB salary, $780,000, this season. The Phillies are responsible for the remainder of his $20 million 2026 salary after releasing him. View full article

One of the ripples from Monday's six-player trade between the Boston Red Sox and Milwaukee Brewers, with Caleb Durbin and Kyle Harrison as the principals, was the idea that maybe a path had opened for the Padres to make a late trade for a starting pitcher. The thinking was this: Milwaukee has pitching depth after acquiring left-handers Harrison and Shane Drohan from Boston, and they no longer have a third baseman after unloading Durbin. David Hamilton, the other player Milwaukee got in the deal, might get the first crack at the job. Could A.J. Preller interest his Brewers counterpart Matt Arnold in, say, Jake Cronenworth to fill that gap? But then there was another thought: Now is not the time for the Padres to move Cronenworth, even though we posited during the Winter Meetings that trading him might be the club's easiest path to acquiring pitching. Here's an argument, albeit not a full-throated one, for keeping him as spring training begins: 3 reasons for Padres to retain Jake Cronenworth Cronenworth wouldn't fetch what other teams have gotten for versatile infielders this month True, the market for versatile infielders appears robust. The Durbin deal brought Milwaukee back an MLB arm, an MLB-ready arm, and a speedy MLB infielder. Four days earlier, the Arizona Diamondbacks dealt Blaze Alexander to the Baltimore Orioles for hard-throwing right-hander Kade Strowd and two minor leaguers. A couple of days before that, the St. Louis Cardinals bagged a top-100 prospect (Jurrangelo Cijntje), two other minor leaguers and two draft picks from the Seattle Mariners and Tampa Bay Rays for Brendan Donovan. But each move featured someone who had more overall value than Cronenworth. Durbin will turn 26 this month and is coming off a season in which he finished third in National League Rookie of the Year voting. Alexander is 26, he's cheap, and he has flashed potential during his brief career. Donovan, 29, is one of the best contact hitters in the game, he's still arbitration-eligible, and he's highly versatile. Cronenworth is 32 and has five years and $60 million-plus remaining on his seven-year, $80 million extension. He can play second, short and first but has just one inning of MLB experience at third base. How much money -- and what level of prospect -- would Preller need to attach to him for a team to bite? Cronenworth is the Padres' best internal option at second base First, the negative: There's a lot of blue on his Baseball Savant page. His career-high .367 on-base percentage last year was boosted by a career-high 13.4 walk rate that was three points higher than his previous personal best. Using run values, he could only handle four-seam fastballs last season. Was that a byproduct of the rib fracture that cost him most of April and a bit of May, or was that a sign of age? Now, the positive: Cronenworth delivers above-average offensive production (117 wRC+, 108 OPS+ in 2025, in line with his career averages). San Diego's other options at second base -- Mason McCoy, Sung Mun Song and Will Wagner -- can't be counted on to match that. Song, 29, hit a career-high 26 home runs in the KBO last year, but he has never taken an MLB at-bat and he's nursing an oblique injury suffered during offseason training. McCoy, 30, has made 84 mostly empty plate appearances over parts of three seasons (.494 OPS). Wagner, 27, has a career 95 wRC+ over roughly a full season of plate appearances. None of that says "everyday player for a contending club." Defense is the weakest part of this argument. Cronenworth's fielding at second last year was average to below average according to advanced metrics. He was eighth among 11 qualified second basemen with minus-8 defensive runs saved. Outs above average rated him better at minus-1, fifth-best in that group. Song, meanwhile, was a Gold Glove third baseman in Korea. McCoy and Wagner have posted middling defensive metrics. Cronenworth is a part of the Padres' core, and vibes matter He has been a regular contributor since making his MLB debut in 2020, the COVID year. San Diego has made the postseason four times in his six seasons. He forms a veteran keystone combination with shortstop Xander Bogaerts. San Diego would be removing a big piece -- for a potentially low return -- from a team that has championship aspirations. View full article

The San Diego Padres' biggest offseason question was how to plug the holes in the rotation. The club lost Dylan Cease to free agency and Yu Darvish to injury. Because A.J. Preller is in charge, visions of a Tarik Skubal or Freddy Peralta trade or a Framber Valdez signing danced in people's heads. However, Preller has just re-signed Michael King to a player-friendly contract. As the players arrive in Arizona for spring training, three of the five starting spots are spoken for: King, Nick Pivetta and Joe Musgrove. The incumbent options for spots Nos. 4 and 5 -- Randy Vasquez, J.P. Sears, Kyle Hart and Matt Waldron -- do not inspire much hope. That leaves the door open for non-roster invitees Triston McKenzie and Marco Gonzales. Padres Mission is taking an analytical look at all the contestants for Opening Day rotation spots. This piece will focus on what Gonzales might bring to the club and whether he should break camp with San Diego or report to Triple-A El Paso as an insurance policy/reclamation project. Previous Entries: Randy Vasquez's Arsenal Marco Gonzales' Stuff Gonzales fits the profile of a "crafty lefty" who "knows how to pitch." His velocity is distinctly below average, but he throws strikes, moves the ball around and expands the zone. He has produced excellent chase, exit velo, hard-hit and walk rates in his career. He also knows how to pitch to the dimensions of his home park. After working in St. Louis' Busch Stadium, Seattle's T-Mobile Park and Pittsburgh's PNC Park, his career home ERA is 0.62 runs lower than his road ERA in almost the same number of innings (3.85 to 4.47), and his home run percentage is six-tenths of a point better (3.0 to 3.6). Obviously, he'd go 4-for-4 if he adds Petco Park to the list. Those numbers help to explain why he has been able to pitch for a decade in the majors despite a career 90 Stuff+ and 104 Location+, per Fangraphs. The biggest unknown with Gonzales is his health. He has undergone two forearm surgeries in recent years --- the first one in August 2023 to repair a nerve issue, the second in September 2024 to repair a flexor tendon injury. He missed the 2025 season as he recovered from the latter procedure. How much command will he have when he returns to the mound? Marco Gonzales' Pitch Arsenal Saying Gonzales does not overpower hitters is a massive understatement. His fastball velocity ranked in the fourth percentile or lower every year from 2019 through 2024. In fact, his sinker --- which he threw nine percent of the time --- was his fastest pitch in 2024, averaging 90.1 mph, per Baseball Savant. His four-seamer averaged 89.7 mph and his cutter averaged 85.7 mph. All three speeds were well below the league average for left-handers. Gonzales also features a changeup and a curveball. The change is the primary off-speed pitch (80.2 mph), and its movement compares quite favorably to changes thrown by pitchers who have similar arm angles and extensions. The four-seamer, which tends to ride up in the zone, also stacks up well. (Gonzales enjoys the benefits of above-average extension.) With the Pirates in '24, he used the change about as often as the cutter, but both were thrown less frequently than the four-seamer. He threw those three pitches almost equally to right-handed batters, though he leaned more heavily on his four-seamer against left-handers (43 percent). The curveball lost its bite in 2024. Gonzales responded by throwing it 10 percent of the time, below his career norm. Of note, Gonzales' average arm angle has been dropping steadily over the years, from a high of 48 degrees in 2021 to a low of 37 degrees in 2024. The lowest individual angle is for the changeup, which was thrown at an average of 30.7 degrees two years ago. What Should Marco Gonzales' Role Be in 2026? Gonzales has been exclusively a starter since 2018. The Padres need rotation help. It seems clear what the role should be. But he needs to show enough in spring training to make a team, any team, and that might be too difficult after a year off. What does he have left after his latest surgery? Can he build up to around 80 pitches by Opening Day so he can get through five innings? Will he be afforded a longer ramp-up period while serving as Triple-A insurance? So many questions to answer, but it's clear that this is a veteran who could be serviceable if he's healthy. View full article

Much is made of A.J. Preller's penchant for trading prospects. In many instances, the San Diego Padres' team president has given a lot -- perhaps too much -- to get a lot in return. The list of "hits" collected by the other teams is long and growing. But one of those trades didn't have the desired effect for the team collecting the kids. It's the deal that brought Yu Darvish to the Padres from the Chicago Cubs. With Darvish nearing retirement or a separation from the Padres, it's worth looking back at the trade and noting how big a win it was for San Diego. For reference, this was the full trade, which was announced on Dec. 29, 2020: PADRES RECEIVE: RHP Yu Darvish C Victor Caratini CUBS RECEIVE: RHP Zach Davies OF Owen Caissie OF Ismael Mena INF Reginald Preciado INF Yeison Santana The move was a part of Preller's ambitious plan to revamp the rotation. On the same day Darvish became a Padre, the club acquired Cy Young Award-winning left-hander Blake Snell from the Tampa Bay Rays for a package led by Luis Patino. Four months earlier, Preller obtained Mike Clevinger from Cleveland for a prospect haul (more on that later). The Cubs were never going to match either return. In the 2020-21 offseason, they were facing a payroll crunch with their young core players -- in particular, Javier Baez, Kris Bryant and Anthony Rizzo -- and Darvish had three years and $59 million remaining on his contract. He dominated in the COVID-shortened 2020 season after years of solid but unspectacular results, tying for the MLB lead with eight wins and posting a 2.01 ERA in 76 innings over 12 starts, but durability was a question mark ahead of his age-34 season. Given that context, it's little wonder the Cubs executed a salary dump. Davies was a rental, as he signed with the Diamondbacks in January 2022. (For the record, Caratini was a rental for the Padres). Mena, Preciado and Santana were international lottery tickets, while Caissie was a high school hitter whom the Padres selected in the second round of the five-round 2020 MLB Draft. Two of those tickets have been torn up. Santana was released in June 2023, and Mena was released last August. Preciado is still active, but he hasn't advanced past High Single-A yet, and last year, in his fifth pro season, he compiled a .218/.292/.382 slash line (.594 OPS). He'll be in his age-23 season in 2026. Caissie, 23, became the Cubs' best hope for salvaging the trade. He reached the majors last year, with the British Columbia native making his debut Aug. 14 in Toronto. But on Jan. 6, he and minor-leaguers Edgardo De Leon and Cristian Hernandez were traded to the Miami Marlins for right-hander Edward Cabrera. With the Cubs getting barely any production from Caissie -- and none from the other prospects -- the contrast between the return for Darvish and the young players Preller sent the budget-conscious Tribe for an arbitration-eligible Clevinger --- Josh Naylor, Cal Quantrill, Gabriel Arias, Joey Cantillo and Owen Miller -- could not be starker. Darvish had an uneven tenure with the Friars. The peak was his 2022 season, when he posted a 3.10 ERA (3.31 FIP) and the club went 18-12 in his starts. The performance earned him a six-year, $108 million contract extension in February 2023. Over time, he became a leader of the pitching staff and a resource for younger teammates. But the past two seasons were cut short by injuries and a personal matter. Last year, his ERA ballooned to 5.38 (4.82 FIP). Now, at 39 and facing a lengthy rehab from elbow surgery, he's poised to leave San Diego three years early, The Padres didn't get great value from the extension, but overall, they got their money's worth from Darvish, mostly because they paid just pennies on the dollar to acquire him. View full article